US-Iran negotiations, driven by the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum between the Trump administration and Iranian officials, remain stalled amid disputes over Strait of Hormuz navigation, sanctions relief, and nuclear issues. Direct high-level engagement has given way to indirect messaging through intermediaries such as Oman, Pakistan, and Qatar, with recent technical discussions in Doha and Switzerland yielding limited progress. Trader focus centers on potential attendance by figures like President Trump, Vice President Vance, or Iranian counterparts including Parliament Speaker Ghalibaf or President Pezeshkian in any resumed round before year-end. Ongoing maritime tensions and enforcement of the interim ceasefire continue to shape conditions for renewed diplomacy.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$165,767 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Jared Kushner
60%
Abbas Araghchi
49%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
47%
Steve Witkoff
42%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
47%
J.D. Vance
42%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
30%
Masoud Pezeshkian
27%
Rafael Grossi
34%
Marco Rubio
26%
Nick Stewart
23%
Kazem Gharibabadi
23%
Ishaq Dar
31%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
16%
Donald Trump
12%
Esmail Qaani
8%
Pete Hegseth
6%
Ahmad Vahidi
5%
Mojtaba Khamenei
5%
$165,767 Vol.
Jared Kushner
$8,084 Vol.
60%
Abbas Araghchi
$6,712 Vol.
49%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
$11,231 Vol.
47%
Steve Witkoff
$7,891 Vol.
42%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
$10,113 Vol.
47%
J.D. Vance
$11,899 Vol.
42%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
$11,007 Vol.
30%
Masoud Pezeshkian
$9,534 Vol.
27%
Rafael Grossi
$8,904 Vol.
34%
Marco Rubio
$10,777 Vol.
26%
Nick Stewart
$2,508 Vol.
23%
Kazem Gharibabadi
$14,348 Vol.
23%
Ishaq Dar
$7,098 Vol.
31%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
$11,800 Vol.
16%
Donald Trump
$112 Vol.
12%
Esmail Qaani
$9,883 Vol.
8%
Pete Hegseth
$2,478 Vol.
6%
Ahmad Vahidi
$2,198 Vol.
5%
Mojtaba Khamenei
$19,189 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US-Iran negotiations, driven by the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum between the Trump administration and Iranian officials, remain stalled amid disputes over Strait of Hormuz navigation, sanctions relief, and nuclear issues. Direct high-level engagement has given way to indirect messaging through intermediaries such as Oman, Pakistan, and Qatar, with recent technical discussions in Doha and Switzerland yielding limited progress. Trader focus centers on potential attendance by figures like President Trump, Vice President Vance, or Iranian counterparts including Parliament Speaker Ghalibaf or President Pezeshkian in any resumed round before year-end. Ongoing maritime tensions and enforcement of the interim ceasefire continue to shape conditions for renewed diplomacy.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado abierto: Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ET
Volumen
$165,767Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US-Iran negotiations, driven by the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum between the Trump administration and Iranian officials, remain stalled amid disputes over Strait of Hormuz navigation, sanctions relief, and nuclear issues. Direct high-level engagement has given way to indirect messaging through intermediaries such as Oman, Pakistan, and Qatar, with recent technical discussions in Doha and Switzerland yielding limited progress. Trader focus centers on potential attendance by figures like President Trump, Vice President Vance, or Iranian counterparts including Parliament Speaker Ghalibaf or President Pezeshkian in any resumed round before year-end. Ongoing maritime tensions and enforcement of the interim ceasefire continue to shape conditions for renewed diplomacy.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$165,767Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US-Iran negotiations, driven by the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum between the Trump administration and Iranian officials, remain stalled amid disputes over Strait of Hormuz navigation, sanctions relief, and nuclear issues. Direct high-level engagement has given way to indirect messaging through intermediaries such as Oman, Pakistan, and Qatar, with recent technical discussions in Doha and Switzerland yielding limited progress. Trader focus centers on potential attendance by figures like President Trump, Vice President Vance, or Iranian counterparts including Parliament Speaker Ghalibaf or President Pezeshkian in any resumed round before year-end. Ongoing maritime tensions and enforcement of the interim ceasefire continue to shape conditions for renewed diplomacy.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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