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Geopolítica·EE. UU. X Irán

¿Quién asistirá a la ceremonia de firma entre Estados Unidos e Irán?

icon for ¿Quién asistirá a la ceremonia de firma entre Estados Unidos e Irán?
Geopolítica·EE. UU. X Irán

¿Quién asistirá a la ceremonia de firma entre Estados Unidos e Irán?

$863,308 Vol.

7 jul 2026
Polymarket

$863,308 Vol.

Polymarket

Shehbaz Sharif

$61,066 Vol.

6%

Steve Witkoff

$61,928 Vol.

6%

Abbas Araghchi

$165,589 Vol.

5%

Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa

$2,949 Vol.

5%

Jared Kushner

$84,480 Vol.

5%

Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan

$3,065 Vol.

4%

Recep Tayyip Erdogan

$2,204 Vol.

4%

JD Vance

$244,176 Vol.

3%

Abdel Fattah el-Sisi

$2,124 Vol.

2%

Rey Abdullah II

$22,070 Vol.

2%

Marco Rubio

$8,822 Vol.

2%

Benjamin Netanyahu

$3,482 Vol.

2%

Masoud Pezeshkian

$75,637 Vol.

2%

Pete Hegseth

$4,329 Vol.

2%

Jeque Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani

$43,986 Vol.

1%

Mishal Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah

$1,540 Vol.

1%

Mohammed bin Salman

$4,748 Vol.

1%

Donald Trump

$55,674 Vol.

1%

Elon Musk

$2,030 Vol.

1%

Mojtaba Khamenei

$13,409 Vol.

1%

On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual attends a signing ceremony between the United States and Iran by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A signing ceremony refers to any official event convened by or on behalf of the United States and Iran for the purpose of physically signing, executing, or formalizing a written agreement between the two countries, at which authorized representatives of both the United States and Iran are physically present at the same location. Attendance at the signing ceremony refers to the listed individual being physically present at any point during the event. If a qualifying signing ceremony occurs and the listed individual does not attend the event, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If no qualifying signing ceremony occurs by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. US and Iranian negotiators, with mediation from Pakistan and Qatar, finalized a memorandum of understanding to extend a ceasefire, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and launch 60 days of follow-on talks on nuclear issues. A formal signing ceremony is set for June 19 at Switzerland’s Burgenstock resort near Lucerne. US representation centers on Vice President JD Vance, while Iranian attendance by Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi or Parliamentary Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf could indicate varying levels of support from Tehran’s diplomatic and security establishments. President Trump has already signed a hard copy during recent European travel. The precise attendee list remains fluid and could shift with last-minute diplomatic or domestic considerations on either side.

On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual attends a signing ceremony between the United States and Iran by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A signing ceremony refers to any official event convened by or on behalf of the United States and Iran for the purpose of physically signing, executing, or formalizing a written agreement between the two countries, at which authorized representatives of both the United States and Iran are physically present at the same location.

Attendance at the signing ceremony refers to the listed individual being physically present at any point during the event.

If a qualifying signing ceremony occurs and the listed individual does not attend the event, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If no qualifying signing ceremony occurs by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$863,308
Fecha de finalización
7 jul 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 16, 2026, 11:56 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual attends a signing ceremony between the United States and Iran by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A signing ceremony refers to any official event convened by or on behalf of the United States and Iran for the purpose of physically signing, executing, or formalizing a written agreement between the two countries, at which authorized representatives of both the United States and Iran are physically present at the same location. Attendance at the signing ceremony refers to the listed individual being physically present at any point during the event. If a qualifying signing ceremony occurs and the listed individual does not attend the event, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If no qualifying signing ceremony occurs by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual attends a signing ceremony between the United States and Iran by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A signing ceremony refers to any official event convened by or on behalf of the United States and Iran for the purpose of physically signing, executing, or formalizing a written agreement between the two countries, at which authorized representatives of both the United States and Iran are physically present at the same location. Attendance at the signing ceremony refers to the listed individual being physically present at any point during the event. If a qualifying signing ceremony occurs and the listed individual does not attend the event, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If no qualifying signing ceremony occurs by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. US and Iranian negotiators, with mediation from Pakistan and Qatar, finalized a memorandum of understanding to extend a ceasefire, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and launch 60 days of follow-on talks on nuclear issues. A formal signing ceremony is set for June 19 at Switzerland’s Burgenstock resort near Lucerne. US representation centers on Vice President JD Vance, while Iranian attendance by Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi or Parliamentary Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf could indicate varying levels of support from Tehran’s diplomatic and security establishments. President Trump has already signed a hard copy during recent European travel. The precise attendee list remains fluid and could shift with last-minute diplomatic or domestic considerations on either side.

On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual attends a signing ceremony between the United States and Iran by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A signing ceremony refers to any official event convened by or on behalf of the United States and Iran for the purpose of physically signing, executing, or formalizing a written agreement between the two countries, at which authorized representatives of both the United States and Iran are physically present at the same location.

Attendance at the signing ceremony refers to the listed individual being physically present at any point during the event.

If a qualifying signing ceremony occurs and the listed individual does not attend the event, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If no qualifying signing ceremony occurs by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$863,308
Fecha de finalización
7 jul 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 16, 2026, 11:56 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual attends a signing ceremony between the United States and Iran by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A signing ceremony refers to any official event convened by or on behalf of the United States and Iran for the purpose of physically signing, executing, or formalizing a written agreement between the two countries, at which authorized representatives of both the United States and Iran are physically present at the same location. Attendance at the signing ceremony refers to the listed individual being physically present at any point during the event. If a qualifying signing ceremony occurs and the listed individual does not attend the event, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If no qualifying signing ceremony occurs by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Quién asistirá a la ceremonia de firma entre Estados Unidos e Irán?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 20 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Shehbaz Sharif" con 6%, seguido de "Steve Witkoff" con 6%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 6¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 6% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Quién asistirá a la ceremonia de firma entre Estados Unidos e Irán?" ha generado $863.3K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jun 16, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Quién asistirá a la ceremonia de firma entre Estados Unidos e Irán?", explora los 20 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

Este es un mercado muy abierto. El líder actual para "¿Quién asistirá a la ceremonia de firma entre Estados Unidos e Irán?" es "Shehbaz Sharif" con solo 6%, con "Steve Witkoff" muy cerca con 6%. Sin ningún resultado con una mayoría clara, los operadores lo ven como altamente incierto, lo que puede presentar oportunidades de trading únicas. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real, así que guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Quién asistirá a la ceremonia de firma entre Estados Unidos e Irán?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.