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Política·Primarias

ME-02 Ganador de las primarias demócratas

icon for ME-02 Ganador de las primarias demócratas
Política·Primarias

ME-02 Ganador de las primarias demócratas

Joe Baldacci 63%

Matthew Dunlap 24%

Jared Golden 2.6%

Paige Loud <1%

Polymarket

$14,601 Vol.

Joe Baldacci 63%

Matthew Dunlap 24%

Jared Golden 2.6%

Paige Loud <1%

Polymarket

$14,601 Vol.

Joe Baldacci

$4,506 Vol.

63%

Matthew Dunlap

$3,765 Vol.

24%

Jared Golden

$2,893 Vol.

3%

Paige Loud

$348 Vol.

7%

Jordan Wood

$3,090 Vol.

-

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Joe Baldacci's trader consensus lead at 62.5% in the ME-02 Democratic primary stems from the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee's May 4 endorsement, placing him on its Red to Blue list for this open battleground seat and signaling national resources amid local backlash over interference. Incumbent Jared Golden's November 2025 retirement announcement created the vacancy, drawing state Sen. Baldacci, Auditor Matthew Dunlap—who entered first and trails at 24% as a progressive challenger—former Senate hopeful Jordan Wood at 8%, and Paige Loud at 4.1%. With the June 9 primary approaching and no public polls released, traders weigh fundraising, name recognition, and DCCC backing as pivotal in this closely watched race against Republican Paul LePage in November.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 9, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$14,601
Fecha de finalización
9 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 25, 2025, 3:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Joe Baldacci's trader consensus lead at 62.5% in the ME-02 Democratic primary stems from the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee's May 4 endorsement, placing him on its Red to Blue list for this open battleground seat and signaling national resources amid local backlash over interference. Incumbent Jared Golden's November 2025 retirement announcement created the vacancy, drawing state Sen. Baldacci, Auditor Matthew Dunlap—who entered first and trails at 24% as a progressive challenger—former Senate hopeful Jordan Wood at 8%, and Paige Loud at 4.1%. With the June 9 primary approaching and no public polls released, traders weigh fundraising, name recognition, and DCCC backing as pivotal in this closely watched race against Republican Paul LePage in November.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 9, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$14,601
Fecha de finalización
9 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 25, 2025, 3:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"ME-02 Ganador de las primarias demócratas" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 5 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Joe Baldacci" con 63%, seguido de "Jordan Wood" con 33%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 63¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 63% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "ME-02 Ganador de las primarias demócratas" ha generado $14.6K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 25, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "ME-02 Ganador de las primarias demócratas", explora los 5 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "ME-02 Ganador de las primarias demócratas" es "Joe Baldacci" con 63%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 63% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Jordan Wood" con 33%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "ME-02 Ganador de las primarias demócratas" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.