Recent citizen petitions in Alberta have gathered sufficient signatures to potentially place a sovereignty referendum on the October 2026 ballot, yet a May 2026 court ruling requiring First Nations consultation has delayed certification and introduced legal uncertainty. Parallel discussions in Quebec, where the Parti Québécois could advance a third independence vote after the provincial election later this year, add further variables. Polling shows modest separatist support around 28-30 percent in Alberta, while constitutional requirements for any secession make passage improbable. Traders price near even odds because signature verification outcomes, appeals, and Quebec electoral results could either enable or block a scheduled vote before 2027.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
$422,601 Vol.
$422,601 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sí
$422,601 Vol.
$422,601 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any provincial government in Canada officially schedules a referendum concerning the province’s potential secession from Canada, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any referendum that establishes the province's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify, whether the referendum is binding or non-binding.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Recent citizen petitions in Alberta have gathered sufficient signatures to potentially place a sovereignty referendum on the October 2026 ballot, yet a May 2026 court ruling requiring First Nations consultation has delayed certification and introduced legal uncertainty. Parallel discussions in Quebec, where the Parti Québécois could advance a third independence vote after the provincial election later this year, add further variables. Polling shows modest separatist support around 28-30 percent in Alberta, while constitutional requirements for any secession make passage improbable. Traders price near even odds because signature verification outcomes, appeals, and Quebec electoral results could either enable or block a scheduled vote before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any provincial government in Canada officially schedules a referendum concerning the province’s potential secession from Canada, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any referendum that establishes the province's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify, whether the referendum is binding or non-binding.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Any referendum that establishes the province's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify, whether the referendum is binding or non-binding.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Nov 5, 2025, 2:24 PM ET
Volumen
$422,601Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any provincial government in Canada officially schedules a referendum concerning the province’s potential secession from Canada, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any referendum that establishes the province's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify, whether the referendum is binding or non-binding.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Recent citizen petitions in Alberta have gathered sufficient signatures to potentially place a sovereignty referendum on the October 2026 ballot, yet a May 2026 court ruling requiring First Nations consultation has delayed certification and introduced legal uncertainty. Parallel discussions in Quebec, where the Parti Québécois could advance a third independence vote after the provincial election later this year, add further variables. Polling shows modest separatist support around 28-30 percent in Alberta, while constitutional requirements for any secession make passage improbable. Traders price near even odds because signature verification outcomes, appeals, and Quebec electoral results could either enable or block a scheduled vote before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any provincial government in Canada officially schedules a referendum concerning the province’s potential secession from Canada, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any referendum that establishes the province's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify, whether the referendum is binding or non-binding.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Any referendum that establishes the province's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify, whether the referendum is binding or non-binding.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$422,601Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent citizen petitions in Alberta have gathered sufficient signatures to potentially place a sovereignty referendum on the October 2026 ballot, yet a May 2026 court ruling requiring First Nations consultation has delayed certification and introduced legal uncertainty. Parallel discussions in Quebec, where the Parti Québécois could advance a third independence vote after the provincial election later this year, add further variables. Polling shows modest separatist support around 28-30 percent in Alberta, while constitutional requirements for any secession make passage improbable. Traders price near even odds because signature verification outcomes, appeals, and Quebec electoral results could either enable or block a scheduled vote before 2027.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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