**Trader consensus favoring "No" at 83% reflects the absence of any public U.S. announcement or formal action seeking sovereignty over Alberta territory.** President Trump has repeatedly floated broader ideas of Canada as the "51st state" amid ongoing tariff disputes, including fresh 50% tariff threats on select Canadian goods set for mid-August 2026. These comments frame economic pressure and trade recalibration rather than targeted territorial acquisition. Meetings between Alberta separatist figures and U.S. officials occurred in January 2026, but State Department and White House statements confirmed only staff-level contacts with no commitments, endorsements, or plans for follow-up. Alberta Premier Danielle Smith has prioritized diplomatic negotiations with the Carney government and explicitly avoided retaliatory measures or annexation discussions. Canadian officials, including the prime minister, have reiterated expectations that the U.S. will respect sovereignty. No legislative proposals, executive actions, or direct overtures toward acquiring any portion of the province have materialized by mid-August 2026. The market resolves only on a clear public announcement of intent to take control by year-end, a threshold unmet amid continued emphasis on tariffs, energy trade, and bilateral talks rather than territorial claims.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
17% probabilidad
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 dic 2026
Sí
17% probabilidad
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump or the US federal government publicly announces that Trump or the United States is seeking to take sovereignty or control over any portion of the territory of Alberta by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Sovereignty or control refers to any attempt to bring part of the territory of Alberta under the legal governance and jurisdiction of the United States, including as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system, or through an arrangement in which the US otherwise exercises governance and jurisdiction in the territory. Commercial agreements, trade deals, or other actions that do not seek formal US governance or jurisdiction over the territory will not count.
A qualifying announcement must directly state either ongoing direct efforts, or a clear intent to engage in direct efforts to take sovereignty or control over a portion of the territory of Alberta (e.g. “We are going to take Alberta” or “We are trying to take Alberta” would count). Statements that express a desire to control Alberta, but do not express a clear intent to engage in direct efforts to take sovereignty or control over Albertan territory (e.g. “We want Alberta,” or “We’re looking into purchasing Alberta”) will not count.
A consensus of credible reporting that the United States is undertaking ongoing direct efforts or negotiations to acquire, purchase, annex, or otherwise take sovereignty or control over any portion of the territory of Alberta will also suffice for a “Yes” resolution.
The primary resolution sources will be official information from Donald Trump and the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Trader consensus favoring "No" at 83% reflects the absence of any public U.S. announcement or formal action seeking sovereignty over Alberta territory.** President Trump has repeatedly floated broader ideas of Canada as the "51st state" amid ongoing tariff disputes, including fresh 50% tariff threats on select Canadian goods set for mid-August 2026. These comments frame economic pressure and trade recalibration rather than targeted territorial acquisition.
Meetings between Alberta separatist figures and U.S. officials occurred in January 2026, but State Department and White House statements confirmed only staff-level contacts with no commitments, endorsements, or plans for follow-up. Alberta Premier Danielle Smith has prioritized diplomatic negotiations with the Carney government and explicitly avoided retaliatory measures or annexation discussions. Canadian officials, including the prime minister, have reiterated expectations that the U.S. will respect sovereignty.
No legislative proposals, executive actions, or direct overtures toward acquiring any portion of the province have materialized by mid-August 2026. The market resolves only on a clear public announcement of intent to take control by year-end, a threshold unmet amid continued emphasis on tariffs, energy trade, and bilateral talks rather than territorial claims.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump or the US federal government publicly announces that Trump or the United States is seeking to take sovereignty or control over any portion of the territory of Alberta by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Sovereignty or control refers to any attempt to bring part of the territory of Alberta under the legal governance and jurisdiction of the United States, including as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system, or through an arrangement in which the US otherwise exercises governance and jurisdiction in the territory. Commercial agreements, trade deals, or other actions that do not seek formal US governance or jurisdiction over the territory will not count.
A qualifying announcement must directly state either ongoing direct efforts, or a clear intent to engage in direct efforts to take sovereignty or control over a portion of the territory of Alberta (e.g. “We are going to take Alberta” or “We are trying to take Alberta” would count). Statements that express a desire to control Alberta, but do not express a clear intent to engage in direct efforts to take sovereignty or control over Albertan territory (e.g. “We want Alberta,” or “We’re looking into purchasing Alberta”) will not count.
A consensus of credible reporting that the United States is undertaking ongoing direct efforts or negotiations to acquire, purchase, annex, or otherwise take sovereignty or control over any portion of the territory of Alberta will also suffice for a “Yes” resolution.
The primary resolution sources will be official information from Donald Trump and the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sovereignty or control refers to any attempt to bring part of the territory of Alberta under the legal governance and jurisdiction of the United States, including as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system, or through an arrangement in which the US otherwise exercises governance and jurisdiction in the territory. Commercial agreements, trade deals, or other actions that do not seek formal US governance or jurisdiction over the territory will not count.
A qualifying announcement must directly state either ongoing direct efforts, or a clear intent to engage in direct efforts to take sovereignty or control over a portion of the territory of Alberta (e.g. “We are going to take Alberta” or “We are trying to take Alberta” would count). Statements that express a desire to control Alberta, but do not express a clear intent to engage in direct efforts to take sovereignty or control over Albertan territory (e.g. “We want Alberta,” or “We’re looking into purchasing Alberta”) will not count.
A consensus of credible reporting that the United States is undertaking ongoing direct efforts or negotiations to acquire, purchase, annex, or otherwise take sovereignty or control over any portion of the territory of Alberta will also suffice for a “Yes” resolution.
The primary resolution sources will be official information from Donald Trump and the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Feb 6, 2026, 5:59 PM ET
Volumen
$3,672Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 6, 2026, 5:59 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump or the US federal government publicly announces that Trump or the United States is seeking to take sovereignty or control over any portion of the territory of Alberta by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Sovereignty or control refers to any attempt to bring part of the territory of Alberta under the legal governance and jurisdiction of the United States, including as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system, or through an arrangement in which the US otherwise exercises governance and jurisdiction in the territory. Commercial agreements, trade deals, or other actions that do not seek formal US governance or jurisdiction over the territory will not count.
A qualifying announcement must directly state either ongoing direct efforts, or a clear intent to engage in direct efforts to take sovereignty or control over a portion of the territory of Alberta (e.g. “We are going to take Alberta” or “We are trying to take Alberta” would count). Statements that express a desire to control Alberta, but do not express a clear intent to engage in direct efforts to take sovereignty or control over Albertan territory (e.g. “We want Alberta,” or “We’re looking into purchasing Alberta”) will not count.
A consensus of credible reporting that the United States is undertaking ongoing direct efforts or negotiations to acquire, purchase, annex, or otherwise take sovereignty or control over any portion of the territory of Alberta will also suffice for a “Yes” resolution.
The primary resolution sources will be official information from Donald Trump and the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Trader consensus favoring "No" at 83% reflects the absence of any public U.S. announcement or formal action seeking sovereignty over Alberta territory.** President Trump has repeatedly floated broader ideas of Canada as the "51st state" amid ongoing tariff disputes, including fresh 50% tariff threats on select Canadian goods set for mid-August 2026. These comments frame economic pressure and trade recalibration rather than targeted territorial acquisition.
Meetings between Alberta separatist figures and U.S. officials occurred in January 2026, but State Department and White House statements confirmed only staff-level contacts with no commitments, endorsements, or plans for follow-up. Alberta Premier Danielle Smith has prioritized diplomatic negotiations with the Carney government and explicitly avoided retaliatory measures or annexation discussions. Canadian officials, including the prime minister, have reiterated expectations that the U.S. will respect sovereignty.
No legislative proposals, executive actions, or direct overtures toward acquiring any portion of the province have materialized by mid-August 2026. The market resolves only on a clear public announcement of intent to take control by year-end, a threshold unmet amid continued emphasis on tariffs, energy trade, and bilateral talks rather than territorial claims.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump or the US federal government publicly announces that Trump or the United States is seeking to take sovereignty or control over any portion of the territory of Alberta by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Sovereignty or control refers to any attempt to bring part of the territory of Alberta under the legal governance and jurisdiction of the United States, including as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system, or through an arrangement in which the US otherwise exercises governance and jurisdiction in the territory. Commercial agreements, trade deals, or other actions that do not seek formal US governance or jurisdiction over the territory will not count.
A qualifying announcement must directly state either ongoing direct efforts, or a clear intent to engage in direct efforts to take sovereignty or control over a portion of the territory of Alberta (e.g. “We are going to take Alberta” or “We are trying to take Alberta” would count). Statements that express a desire to control Alberta, but do not express a clear intent to engage in direct efforts to take sovereignty or control over Albertan territory (e.g. “We want Alberta,” or “We’re looking into purchasing Alberta”) will not count.
A consensus of credible reporting that the United States is undertaking ongoing direct efforts or negotiations to acquire, purchase, annex, or otherwise take sovereignty or control over any portion of the territory of Alberta will also suffice for a “Yes” resolution.
The primary resolution sources will be official information from Donald Trump and the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sovereignty or control refers to any attempt to bring part of the territory of Alberta under the legal governance and jurisdiction of the United States, including as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system, or through an arrangement in which the US otherwise exercises governance and jurisdiction in the territory. Commercial agreements, trade deals, or other actions that do not seek formal US governance or jurisdiction over the territory will not count.
A qualifying announcement must directly state either ongoing direct efforts, or a clear intent to engage in direct efforts to take sovereignty or control over a portion of the territory of Alberta (e.g. “We are going to take Alberta” or “We are trying to take Alberta” would count). Statements that express a desire to control Alberta, but do not express a clear intent to engage in direct efforts to take sovereignty or control over Albertan territory (e.g. “We want Alberta,” or “We’re looking into purchasing Alberta”) will not count.
A consensus of credible reporting that the United States is undertaking ongoing direct efforts or negotiations to acquire, purchase, annex, or otherwise take sovereignty or control over any portion of the territory of Alberta will also suffice for a “Yes” resolution.
The primary resolution sources will be official information from Donald Trump and the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$3,672Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 6, 2026, 5:59 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Trader consensus favoring "No" at 83% reflects the absence of any public U.S. announcement or formal action seeking sovereignty over Alberta territory.** President Trump has repeatedly floated broader ideas of Canada as the "51st state" amid ongoing tariff disputes, including fresh 50% tariff threats on select Canadian goods set for mid-August 2026. These comments frame economic pressure and trade recalibration rather than targeted territorial acquisition. Meetings between Alberta separatist figures and U.S. officials occurred in January 2026, but State Department and White House statements confirmed only staff-level contacts with no commitments, endorsements, or plans for follow-up. Alberta Premier Danielle Smith has prioritized diplomatic negotiations with the Carney government and explicitly avoided retaliatory measures or annexation discussions. Canadian officials, including the prime minister, have reiterated expectations that the U.S. will respect sovereignty. No legislative proposals, executive actions, or direct overtures toward acquiring any portion of the province have materialized by mid-August 2026. The market resolves only on a clear public announcement of intent to take control by year-end, a threshold unmet amid continued emphasis on tariffs, energy trade, and bilateral talks rather than territorial claims.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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