Bank of Canada policymakers held the overnight policy rate steady at 2.25 percent on April 29, anchoring the 96 percent market-implied probability of no change at the June 10 fixed announcement date. Recent inflation prints show headline CPI rising toward 2.4 percent year-over-year on elevated energy prices from Middle East tensions, while core measures such as CPI-trim remain near the 2 percent target. Soft labor-market data, including an April employment decline and unemployment climbing to 6.9 percent, have offset any hawkish tilt from temporary oil-driven price pressures. Moderate first-quarter GDP growth near 1.5 percent annualized further supports continuity. The dominant consensus could face pressure from an April CPI release due May 19 that exceeds expectations or from additional labor-market deterioration that revives cut probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoBank of Canada decision in June?
Bank of Canada decision in June?
No change 96.2%
Increase 2.9%
25 bps decrease 1.3%
50+ bps decrease <1%
$26,429 Vol.
$26,429 Vol.
10 jun 2026
50+ bps decrease
1%
25 bps decrease
1%
No change
96%
Increase
3%
No change 96.2%
Increase 2.9%
25 bps decrease 1.3%
50+ bps decrease <1%
$26,429 Vol.
$26,429 Vol.
10 jun 2026
50+ bps decrease
$4,584 Vol.
1%
25 bps decrease
$4,363 Vol.
1%
No change
$9,472 Vol.
96%
Increase
$8,011 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's June 2026 meeting.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Bank of Canada policymakers held the overnight policy rate steady at 2.25 percent on April 29, anchoring the 96 percent market-implied probability of no change at the June 10 fixed announcement date. Recent inflation prints show headline CPI rising toward 2.4 percent year-over-year on elevated energy prices from Middle East tensions, while core measures such as CPI-trim remain near the 2 percent target. Soft labor-market data, including an April employment decline and unemployment climbing to 6.9 percent, have offset any hawkish tilt from temporary oil-driven price pressures. Moderate first-quarter GDP growth near 1.5 percent annualized further supports continuity. The dominant consensus could face pressure from an April CPI release due May 19 that exceeds expectations or from additional labor-market deterioration that revives cut probabilities.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's June 2026 meeting.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Mercado abierto: Mar 24, 2026, 7:36 PM ET
Volumen
$26,429Fecha de finalización
10 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 24, 2026, 7:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's June 2026 meeting.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Bank of Canada policymakers held the overnight policy rate steady at 2.25 percent on April 29, anchoring the 96 percent market-implied probability of no change at the June 10 fixed announcement date. Recent inflation prints show headline CPI rising toward 2.4 percent year-over-year on elevated energy prices from Middle East tensions, while core measures such as CPI-trim remain near the 2 percent target. Soft labor-market data, including an April employment decline and unemployment climbing to 6.9 percent, have offset any hawkish tilt from temporary oil-driven price pressures. Moderate first-quarter GDP growth near 1.5 percent annualized further supports continuity. The dominant consensus could face pressure from an April CPI release due May 19 that exceeds expectations or from additional labor-market deterioration that revives cut probabilities.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's June 2026 meeting.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volumen
$26,429Fecha de finalización
10 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 24, 2026, 7:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Bank of Canada policymakers held the overnight policy rate steady at 2.25 percent on April 29, anchoring the 96 percent market-implied probability of no change at the June 10 fixed announcement date. Recent inflation prints show headline CPI rising toward 2.4 percent year-over-year on elevated energy prices from Middle East tensions, while core measures such as CPI-trim remain near the 2 percent target. Soft labor-market data, including an April employment decline and unemployment climbing to 6.9 percent, have offset any hawkish tilt from temporary oil-driven price pressures. Moderate first-quarter GDP growth near 1.5 percent annualized further supports continuity. The dominant consensus could face pressure from an April CPI release due May 19 that exceeds expectations or from additional labor-market deterioration that revives cut probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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