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Will gas hit __ by end of May?

icon for Will gas hit __ by end of May?

Will gas hit __ by end of May?

may 31

may 31

$140,515 Vol.

31 may 2026
Polymarket

$140,515 Vol.

Polymarket

↑ $5.00

$21,518 Vol.

14%

↑ $4.70

$11,417 Vol.

52%

↑ $4.60

$11,662 Vol.

67%

↓ $4.25

$2,557 Vol.

14%

↓ $4.20

$1,868 Vol.

10%

↓ $4.10

$1,101 Vol.

9%

↓ $4.00

$884 Vol.

5%

↓ $3.75

$1,486 Vol.

3%

↓ $3.50

$6,945 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".Natural gas futures continue to trade near $2.80 per million British thermal units as of mid-May 2026, with the June contract recently settling around $2.56 amid ample storage inventories that stand 4 percent above the five-year average. Elevated working gas levels, supported by strong recent injections and mild shoulder-season weather, have capped power-sector demand while production remains resilient year-over-year despite moderated drilling. The Energy Information Administration’s May Short-Term Energy Outlook lowered its 2026 Henry Hub forecast to $3.50 per MMBtu, reflecting expectations for continued supply growth and softer near-term consumption. LNG export volumes are projected to rise toward 17 billion cubic feet per day, providing longer-term support, yet the flat forward curve and absence of significant heat-driven spikes keep upward pressure limited ahead of the final May storage report and any late-month weather shifts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).

The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Volumen
$140,515
Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 2:26 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".Natural gas futures continue to trade near $2.80 per million British thermal units as of mid-May 2026, with the June contract recently settling around $2.56 amid ample storage inventories that stand 4 percent above the five-year average. Elevated working gas levels, supported by strong recent injections and mild shoulder-season weather, have capped power-sector demand while production remains resilient year-over-year despite moderated drilling. The Energy Information Administration’s May Short-Term Energy Outlook lowered its 2026 Henry Hub forecast to $3.50 per MMBtu, reflecting expectations for continued supply growth and softer near-term consumption. LNG export volumes are projected to rise toward 17 billion cubic feet per day, providing longer-term support, yet the flat forward curve and absence of significant heat-driven spikes keep upward pressure limited ahead of the final May storage report and any late-month weather shifts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).

The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Volumen
$140,515
Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 2:26 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Will gas hit __ by end of May?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 13 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "↑ $4.50" con 100%, seguido de "↑ $4.45" con 100%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 100¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Will gas hit __ by end of May?" ha generado $140.5K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Apr 30, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Will gas hit __ by end of May?", explora los 13 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Will gas hit __ by end of May?" es "↑ $4.50" con 100%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "↑ $4.45" con 100%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Will gas hit __ by end of May?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.