Recent developments have sharply reduced prospects for a final U.S.-Iran agreement before year-end. The June 2026 memorandum of understanding set a 60-day window for negotiations on nuclear limits, sanctions relief, and related issues, with any final accord to receive binding UN Security Council endorsement. That period expired without a completed deal, and subsequent talks have stalled amid Iranian conditions for resuming discussions—including an end to hostilities, asset releases, and lifted blockades—alongside U.S. rejection of key demands. Russia and China vetoed a U.S. draft in September 2026 to extend sanctions monitoring, while IAEA access to Iranian facilities remains restricted. These P5 divisions, combined with unresolved nuclear compliance disputes and limited time remaining, underpin trader consensus that a UNSC resolution is unlikely by December 31.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Resolución del CSNU que respalde el acuerdo final entre Estados Unidos e Irán antes del 31 de diciembre?
¿Resolución del CSNU que respalde el acuerdo final entre Estados Unidos e Irán antes del 31 de diciembre?
Sí
14% probabilidad
$244,059 Vol.
$244,059 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sí
14% probabilidad
$244,059 Vol.
$244,059 Vol.
31 dic 2026
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Recent developments have sharply reduced prospects for a final U.S.-Iran agreement before year-end. The June 2026 memorandum of understanding set a 60-day window for negotiations on nuclear limits, sanctions relief, and related issues, with any final accord to receive binding UN Security Council endorsement. That period expired without a completed deal, and subsequent talks have stalled amid Iranian conditions for resuming discussions—including an end to hostilities, asset releases, and lifted blockades—alongside U.S. rejection of key demands. Russia and China vetoed a U.S. draft in September 2026 to extend sanctions monitoring, while IAEA access to Iranian facilities remains restricted. These P5 divisions, combined with unresolved nuclear compliance disputes and limited time remaining, underpin trader consensus that a UNSC resolution is unlikely by December 31.
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Jun 23, 2026, 12:51 AM ET
Volumen
$244,059Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Jun 23, 2026, 12:51 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Recent developments have sharply reduced prospects for a final U.S.-Iran agreement before year-end. The June 2026 memorandum of understanding set a 60-day window for negotiations on nuclear limits, sanctions relief, and related issues, with any final accord to receive binding UN Security Council endorsement. That period expired without a completed deal, and subsequent talks have stalled amid Iranian conditions for resuming discussions—including an end to hostilities, asset releases, and lifted blockades—alongside U.S. rejection of key demands. Russia and China vetoed a U.S. draft in September 2026 to extend sanctions monitoring, while IAEA access to Iranian facilities remains restricted. These P5 divisions, combined with unresolved nuclear compliance disputes and limited time remaining, underpin trader consensus that a UNSC resolution is unlikely by December 31.
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$244,059Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Jun 23, 2026, 12:51 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent developments have sharply reduced prospects for a final U.S.-Iran agreement before year-end. The June 2026 memorandum of understanding set a 60-day window for negotiations on nuclear limits, sanctions relief, and related issues, with any final accord to receive binding UN Security Council endorsement. That period expired without a completed deal, and subsequent talks have stalled amid Iranian conditions for resuming discussions—including an end to hostilities, asset releases, and lifted blockades—alongside U.S. rejection of key demands. Russia and China vetoed a U.S. draft in September 2026 to extend sanctions monitoring, while IAEA access to Iranian facilities remains restricted. These P5 divisions, combined with unresolved nuclear compliance disputes and limited time remaining, underpin trader consensus that a UNSC resolution is unlikely by December 31.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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