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icon for ¿Bailará Trump en...?

¿Bailará Trump en...?

icon for ¿Bailará Trump en...?

¿Bailará Trump en...?

NUEVO
1 jul 2026
Polymarket

$7,670 Vol.

Polymarket

27 de junio

$0 Vol.

43%

16 de junio

$50 Vol.

30%

12 de junio

$6 Vol.

44%

17 de junio

$50 Vol.

30%

29 de junio

$0 Vol.

42%

14 de junio

$430 Vol.

54%

15 de junio

$56 Vol.

43%

18 de junio

$50 Vol.

37%

22 de junio

$0 Vol.

41%

20 de junio

$50 Vol.

37%

9 de junio

$190 Vol.

2%

24 de junio

$0 Vol.

49%

28 de junio

$0 Vol.

41%

19 de junio

$69 Vol.

37%

25 de junio

$0 Vol.

42%

30 de junio

$0 Vol.

42%

10 de junio

$50 Vol.

47%

13 de junio

$0 Vol.

43%

21 de junio

$50 Vol.

36%

26 de junio

$0 Vol.

42%

11 de junio

$50 Vol.

48%

23 de junio

$0 Vol.

38%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify. This market will resolve based on video footage.Trump's consistent history of breaking into his signature rhythmic moves—often to "YMCA" or similar tracks—at rallies, White House events, and ceremonies fuels trader consensus on daily or event-specific "dance" markets. Recent 2026 appearances, including his YMCA lesson at the Presidential Fitness Test on the South Lawn and grooves at the Congressional Picnic and NRCC dinner, have reinforced the pattern of deliberate, music-synced movement. Markets resolve on verifiable video evidence of such actions within the defined window, with high implied probabilities when schedules include high-energy public appearances. The upcoming UFC Freedom 250 event stands as the next key catalyst, where venue atmosphere and performance norms could sway outcomes. Traders weigh scheduled programming against his unpredictable personal style for position management.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

"Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify.

AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered.

Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify.

This market will resolve based on video footage.
Volumen
$7,670
Fecha de finalización
1 jul 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 2, 2026, 2:05 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify. This market will resolve based on video footage.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify. This market will resolve based on video footage.Trump's consistent history of breaking into his signature rhythmic moves—often to "YMCA" or similar tracks—at rallies, White House events, and ceremonies fuels trader consensus on daily or event-specific "dance" markets. Recent 2026 appearances, including his YMCA lesson at the Presidential Fitness Test on the South Lawn and grooves at the Congressional Picnic and NRCC dinner, have reinforced the pattern of deliberate, music-synced movement. Markets resolve on verifiable video evidence of such actions within the defined window, with high implied probabilities when schedules include high-energy public appearances. The upcoming UFC Freedom 250 event stands as the next key catalyst, where venue atmosphere and performance norms could sway outcomes. Traders weigh scheduled programming against his unpredictable personal style for position management.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

"Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify.

AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered.

Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify.

This market will resolve based on video footage.
Volumen
$7,670
Fecha de finalización
1 jul 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 2, 2026, 2:05 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify. This market will resolve based on video footage.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Bailará Trump en...?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 28 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "5 de junio" con 100%, seguido de "14 de junio" con 54%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 100¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿Bailará Trump en...?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Jun 2, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿Bailará Trump en...?", explora los 28 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Bailará Trump en...?" es "5 de junio" con 100%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "14 de junio" con 54%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Bailará Trump en...?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.