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icon for ¿Trump insultará públicamente a alguien en...?

¿Trump insultará públicamente a alguien en...?

icon for ¿Trump insultará públicamente a alguien en...?

¿Trump insultará públicamente a alguien en...?

jun 30

jun 30

$449,888 Vol.

30 jun 2026
Polymarket

$449,888 Vol.

Polymarket

18 de junio

$1,597 Vol.

94%

25 de junio

$146 Vol.

93%

27 de junio

$150 Vol.

92%

10 de junio

$13,390 Vol.

94%

11 de junio

$4,448 Vol.

97%

12 de junio

$3,480 Vol.

93%

13 de junio

$1,662 Vol.

93%

14 de junio

$1,453 Vol.

92%

15 de junio

$2,835 Vol.

94%

16 de junio

$284 Vol.

92%

17 de junio

$813 Vol.

93%

19 de junio

$232 Vol.

92%

20 de junio

$190 Vol.

92%

21 de junio

$2,235 Vol.

92%

22 de junio

$322 Vol.

92%

23 de junio

$149 Vol.

92%

24 de junio

$179 Vol.

92%

26 de junio

$207 Vol.

92%

28 de junio

$768 Vol.

93%

29 de junio

$1,328 Vol.

92%

30 de junio

$173 Vol.

92%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Donald Trump has maintained a consistent pattern of public personal criticisms and insults during his second term, with analyses showing a marked increase in frequency and profanity compared to his first. Recent developments include a June interview on Meet the Press where he directly confronted host Kristen Welker with terms such as “crooked or stupid” before walking off, repeated references to Democrats as “Dumocrats” on social media and in speeches, and targeted remarks toward journalists and political figures. These incidents align with trader assessments on related prediction markets reflecting high probabilities of additional public statements in the near term. Scheduled media appearances, Truth Social activity, and ongoing policy debates could provide further opportunities for such exchanges, though outcomes remain subject to his discretion and external events.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.

A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.

Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$449,888
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 1, 2026, 1:46 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Donald Trump has maintained a consistent pattern of public personal criticisms and insults during his second term, with analyses showing a marked increase in frequency and profanity compared to his first. Recent developments include a June interview on Meet the Press where he directly confronted host Kristen Welker with terms such as “crooked or stupid” before walking off, repeated references to Democrats as “Dumocrats” on social media and in speeches, and targeted remarks toward journalists and political figures. These incidents align with trader assessments on related prediction markets reflecting high probabilities of additional public statements in the near term. Scheduled media appearances, Truth Social activity, and ongoing policy debates could provide further opportunities for such exchanges, though outcomes remain subject to his discretion and external events.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.

A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.

Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$449,888
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 1, 2026, 1:46 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Trump insultará públicamente a alguien en...?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 29 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "2 de junio" con 100%, seguido de "3 de junio" con 100%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 100¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Trump insultará públicamente a alguien en...?" ha generado $449.9K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jun 1, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Trump insultará públicamente a alguien en...?", explora los 29 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Trump insultará públicamente a alguien en...?" es "2 de junio" con 100%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "3 de junio" con 100%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Trump insultará públicamente a alguien en...?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.