Venezuelan crude oil production has risen steadily to around 1.2 million barrels per day (bpd) as of mid-2026, supported by eased U.S. sanctions, expanded operating licenses for PDVSA and foreign partners, and renewed international investment following political shifts. Recent monthly data from OPEC and PDVSA show output climbing from roughly 1.1 million bpd averages in late 2025, with exports rebounding toward 1.25 million bpd amid stronger demand from U.S. and Indian refiners. Analysts from JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs project potential gains to 1.3–1.5 million bpd by year-end if infrastructure maintenance and capital inflows continue, though reaching higher thresholds would require sustained political stability and accelerated project execution. Key near-term catalysts include additional licensing rounds and quarterly production reports, while global oil prices and OPEC+ dynamics add further uncertainty to the recovery trajectory.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$180,487 Vol.
28 feb 2027
1,1 millones
100%
1,2 millones
53%
1,3 millones
19%
1,4 millones
9%
1,5 millones
4%
1,7 millones
3%
2 millones
3%
$180,487 Vol.
1,1 millones
$18,773 Vol.
100%
1,2 millones
$10,418 Vol.
53%
1,3 millones
$7,633 Vol.
19%
1,4 millones
$19,769 Vol.
9%
1,5 millones
$9,719 Vol.
4%
1,7 millones
$58,787 Vol.
3%
2 millones
$16,311 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.Venezuelan crude oil production has risen steadily to around 1.2 million barrels per day (bpd) as of mid-2026, supported by eased U.S. sanctions, expanded operating licenses for PDVSA and foreign partners, and renewed international investment following political shifts. Recent monthly data from OPEC and PDVSA show output climbing from roughly 1.1 million bpd averages in late 2025, with exports rebounding toward 1.25 million bpd amid stronger demand from U.S. and Indian refiners. Analysts from JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs project potential gains to 1.3–1.5 million bpd by year-end if infrastructure maintenance and capital inflows continue, though reaching higher thresholds would require sustained political stability and accelerated project execution. Key near-term catalysts include additional licensing rounds and quarterly production reports, while global oil prices and OPEC+ dynamics add further uncertainty to the recovery trajectory.
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Mercado abierto: Jan 6, 2026, 11:09 PM ET
Volumen
$180,487Fecha de finalización
28 feb 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 6, 2026, 11:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.Venezuelan crude oil production has risen steadily to around 1.2 million barrels per day (bpd) as of mid-2026, supported by eased U.S. sanctions, expanded operating licenses for PDVSA and foreign partners, and renewed international investment following political shifts. Recent monthly data from OPEC and PDVSA show output climbing from roughly 1.1 million bpd averages in late 2025, with exports rebounding toward 1.25 million bpd amid stronger demand from U.S. and Indian refiners. Analysts from JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs project potential gains to 1.3–1.5 million bpd by year-end if infrastructure maintenance and capital inflows continue, though reaching higher thresholds would require sustained political stability and accelerated project execution. Key near-term catalysts include additional licensing rounds and quarterly production reports, while global oil prices and OPEC+ dynamics add further uncertainty to the recovery trajectory.
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Volumen
$180,487Fecha de finalización
28 feb 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 6, 2026, 11:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Venezuelan crude oil production has risen steadily to around 1.2 million barrels per day (bpd) as of mid-2026, supported by eased U.S. sanctions, expanded operating licenses for PDVSA and foreign partners, and renewed international investment following political shifts. Recent monthly data from OPEC and PDVSA show output climbing from roughly 1.1 million bpd averages in late 2025, with exports rebounding toward 1.25 million bpd amid stronger demand from U.S. and Indian refiners. Analysts from JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs project potential gains to 1.3–1.5 million bpd by year-end if infrastructure maintenance and capital inflows continue, though reaching higher thresholds would require sustained political stability and accelerated project execution. Key near-term catalysts include additional licensing rounds and quarterly production reports, while global oil prices and OPEC+ dynamics add further uncertainty to the recovery trajectory.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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