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Política·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias demócratas del gobernador de Wisconsin

icon for Ganador de las primarias demócratas del gobernador de Wisconsin
Política·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias demócratas del gobernador de Wisconsin

Mandela Barnes 50%

Francesca Hong 32.6%

Sara Rodríguez 15%

David Crowley 3.9%

Polymarket

$56,986 Vol.

Mandela Barnes 50%

Francesca Hong 32.6%

Sara Rodríguez 15%

David Crowley 3.9%

Polymarket

$56,986 Vol.

Mandela Barnes

$9,515 Vol.

50%

Francesca Hong

$8,113 Vol.

33%

Sara Rodríguez

$10,902 Vol.

15%

David Crowley

$3,449 Vol.

4%

Joel Brennan

$2,764 Vol.

1%

Zachary Roper

$1,728 Vol.

1%

Chris Larson

$8,787 Vol.

1%

Tim Jacobson

$1,850 Vol.

<1%

Melissa Agard

$2,257 Vol.

<1%

Kelda Roys

$2,414 Vol.

<1%

Tom Nelson

$1,699 Vol.

<1%

Missy Hughes

$1,823 Vol.

<1%

Brett Hulsey

$1,685 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Mandela Barnes holds the leading position in trader consensus for the August 11 Democratic primary due to his prior statewide visibility as lieutenant governor and 2022 Senate nominee, which provides established name recognition in a crowded field of more than a dozen candidates. Recent Marquette Law School polling from March shows him competitive with Francesca Hong amid high undecided percentages, reflecting ongoing voter assessment of their respective records on affordability, healthcare expansion, and progressive priorities. Hong's grassroots fundraising and policy emphasis on public services have narrowed her gap, while Sara Rodriguez benefits from her current role as lieutenant governor. The open seat following Tony Evers' decision not to seek reelection has drawn multiple entrants, keeping the contest fluid with potential shifts from upcoming debates and endorsements before primary day.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volumen
$56,986
Fecha de finalización
11 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Mandela Barnes holds the leading position in trader consensus for the August 11 Democratic primary due to his prior statewide visibility as lieutenant governor and 2022 Senate nominee, which provides established name recognition in a crowded field of more than a dozen candidates. Recent Marquette Law School polling from March shows him competitive with Francesca Hong amid high undecided percentages, reflecting ongoing voter assessment of their respective records on affordability, healthcare expansion, and progressive priorities. Hong's grassroots fundraising and policy emphasis on public services have narrowed her gap, while Sara Rodriguez benefits from her current role as lieutenant governor. The open seat following Tony Evers' decision not to seek reelection has drawn multiple entrants, keeping the contest fluid with potential shifts from upcoming debates and endorsements before primary day.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volumen
$56,986
Fecha de finalización
11 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las primarias demócratas del gobernador de Wisconsin" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 13 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Mandela Barnes" con 50%, seguido de "Francesca Hong" con 33%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 50¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 50% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del gobernador de Wisconsin" ha generado $57K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 11, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del gobernador de Wisconsin", explora los 13 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del gobernador de Wisconsin" es "Mandela Barnes" con 50%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 50% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Francesca Hong" con 33%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del gobernador de Wisconsin" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.