Traders assign the highest probability to 50-60% turnout in Zambia’s August 13 presidential election, followed by 60-70%, reflecting a balance between record registration of 8.7 million voters and factors that may temper participation. Recent surveys show strong public confidence in elections as the preferred leadership mechanism, yet notable shares of respondents remain undecided or cite anxieties over economic conditions, institutional trust, and the broader political environment. Historical turnout has averaged around 57%, with the 2021 contest reaching 71% amid intense mobilization; current dynamics, including expanded voter rolls and pre-election assessments emphasizing procedural fairness, point to solid but not exceptional engagement. Scheduled campaign activities and any shifts in opposition coordination could still influence final participation levels before polling.