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Sports·Formula 1

Canadian Grand Prix: Driver Pole Position

icon for Canadian Grand Prix: Driver Pole Position
Sports·Formula 1

Canadian Grand Prix: Driver Pole Position

George Russell 31%

Max Verstappen 28%

Kimi Antonelli 26%

Oscar Piastri 24%

Polymarket
NEW

George Russell 31%

Max Verstappen 28%

Kimi Antonelli 26%

Oscar Piastri 24%

Polymarket
NEW

George Russell

$243 Vol.

31%

Max Verstappen

$408 Vol.

25%

Kimi Antonelli

$240 Vol.

26%

Oscar Piastri

$217 Vol.

19%

Lando Norris

$275 Vol.

18%

Charles Leclerc

$208 Vol.

14%

Lewis Hamilton

$231 Vol.

10%

Alexander Albon

$180 Vol.

3%

Carlos Sainz Jr.

$180 Vol.

3%

Isack Hadjar

$196 Vol.

3%

Oliver Bearman

$185 Vol.

2%

Pierre Gasly

$177 Vol.

2%

Gabriel Bortoleto

$180 Vol.

1%

Arvid Lindblad

$460 Vol.

1%

Lance Stroll

$180 Vol.

1%

Valtteri Bottas

$479 Vol.

1%

Esteban Ocon

$180 Vol.

1%

Franco Colapinto

$404 Vol.

<1%

Nico Hulkenberg

$482 Vol.

<1%

Liam Lawson

$463 Vol.

<1%

Fernando Alonso

$400 Vol.

<1%

Sergio Perez

$416 Vol.

<1%

This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix, scheduled for May 23, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 30, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid. For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.Mercedes' targeted low-downforce upgrades and George Russell's proven single-lap pace at Circuit Gilles-Villeneuve underpin his 30.5% implied probability lead for pole, building on his 2024 and 2025 poles plus last year's victory. Teammate Kimi Antonelli sits close at 26.5% after converting three straight poles into wins in China, Japan, and Miami to extend his championship lead, yet the intra-team dynamic and Montreal's wall-lined layout tilt qualifying edge toward Russell's experience. Max Verstappen at 23%, Oscar Piastri at 18.5%, and Lando Norris at 18% reflect McLaren and Red Bull consistency on similar street circuits, while Ferrari's mixed post-Miami form leaves Charles Leclerc and Lewis Hamilton further back in the tightly bunched field where small setup or traffic differences can shift the order rapidly.

This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix, scheduled for May 23, 2026.

If the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 30, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.

For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver.

The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Volume
$6,383
End Date
May 30, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 25, 2026, 7:31 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/races

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix, scheduled for May 23, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 30, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid. For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix, scheduled for May 23, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 30, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid. For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.Mercedes' targeted low-downforce upgrades and George Russell's proven single-lap pace at Circuit Gilles-Villeneuve underpin his 30.5% implied probability lead for pole, building on his 2024 and 2025 poles plus last year's victory. Teammate Kimi Antonelli sits close at 26.5% after converting three straight poles into wins in China, Japan, and Miami to extend his championship lead, yet the intra-team dynamic and Montreal's wall-lined layout tilt qualifying edge toward Russell's experience. Max Verstappen at 23%, Oscar Piastri at 18.5%, and Lando Norris at 18% reflect McLaren and Red Bull consistency on similar street circuits, while Ferrari's mixed post-Miami form leaves Charles Leclerc and Lewis Hamilton further back in the tightly bunched field where small setup or traffic differences can shift the order rapidly.

This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix, scheduled for May 23, 2026.

If the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 30, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.

For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver.

The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Volume
$6,383
End Date
May 30, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 25, 2026, 7:31 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/races

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix, scheduled for May 23, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 30, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid. For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Canadian Grand Prix: Driver Pole Position" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 22 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "George Russell" at 31%, followed by "Kimi Antonelli" at 26%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 31¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 31% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Canadian Grand Prix: Driver Pole Position" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 25, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Canadian Grand Prix: Driver Pole Position," browse the 22 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Canadian Grand Prix: Driver Pole Position" is "George Russell" at 31%, meaning the market assigns a 31% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Kimi Antonelli" at 26%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Canadian Grand Prix: Driver Pole Position" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.