Germany enters FIFA World Cup 2026 Group E as the clear trader consensus favorite at 70.5% implied probability to finish top, bolstered by the highest Team Elo rating (88%) among the group, elite leadership from captain Joshua Kimmich and coach Julian Nagelsmann's high-pressing system, and a dominant qualification campaign capped by strong March friendlies over Switzerland and Ghana. Ecuador holds second at 19.5% on veteran striker Enner Valencia's goal threat (49 international goals) and counterattacking form under Sebastián Beccacece, edging Ivory Coast's 10.7% despite the Elephants' recent squad boost via naturalized forward Ange-Yoan Bonny's nationality switch announced May 12. Curaçao languishes at 1.3% as the lowest-ranked side, reliant on resilience but facing steep barriers in the group stage opener June 14.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedGermany 71%
Ecuador 20%
Ivory Coast 10.6%
Curaçao 1.3%
$35,083 Vol.
$35,083 Vol.
Germany
71%
Ecuador
20%
Ivory Coast
11%
Curaçao
1%
Germany 71%
Ecuador 20%
Ivory Coast 10.6%
Curaçao 1.3%
$35,083 Vol.
$35,083 Vol.
Germany
71%
Ecuador
20%
Ivory Coast
11%
Curaçao
1%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Germany enters FIFA World Cup 2026 Group E as the clear trader consensus favorite at 70.5% implied probability to finish top, bolstered by the highest Team Elo rating (88%) among the group, elite leadership from captain Joshua Kimmich and coach Julian Nagelsmann's high-pressing system, and a dominant qualification campaign capped by strong March friendlies over Switzerland and Ghana. Ecuador holds second at 19.5% on veteran striker Enner Valencia's goal threat (49 international goals) and counterattacking form under Sebastián Beccacece, edging Ivory Coast's 10.7% despite the Elephants' recent squad boost via naturalized forward Ange-Yoan Bonny's nationality switch announced May 12. Curaçao languishes at 1.3% as the lowest-ranked side, reliant on resilience but facing steep barriers in the group stage opener June 14.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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