Brad Pitt’s survival thriller opened to a respectable $20 million domestically amid competition from an Avengers: Endgame re-release and family titles, earning an A- CinemaScore that signals solid audience engagement. With a $24.4 million domestic total through Tuesday, the film’s second-weekend trajectory hinges on typical 45-55% drops for mid-budget action-dramas plus any word-of-mouth lift from its Alaskan wilderness premise and canine co-star. Traders see the 9-11 million range as the narrow frontrunner because historical precedents for similar Brad Pitt vehicles and current tracking show balanced risk across the $7-15 million bands, while stronger-than-expected holds or steeper competition-driven erosion could push results outside the middle buckets. The upcoming weekend serves as the key test before broader October family and horror releases intensify the marketplace.