Current ensemble forecasts from European models, including ECMWF and KNMI guidance, indicate a likely peak temperature of 26–28°C in Amsterdam on June 18 amid a warm, stable air mass with light southerly flow and limited cloud cover. This setup favors strong daytime heating under mostly clear conditions, pushing afternoon maxima into the upper 20s, though minor variations in boundary-layer moisture or timing of any thin high cloud could trim 1°C from the peak. With only 48 hours until resolution, traders weigh the latest model runs showing 27°C as the slight consensus favorite over 28°C, reflecting typical uncertainty ranges of ±1–2°C in short-range temperature predictions for the region during early summer.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Amsterdam on June 18?
27°C 38%
28°C 33%
26°C 14%
29°C 13%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
14%
27°C
38%
28°C
33%
29°C
13%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 38%
28°C 33%
26°C 14%
29°C 13%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
14%
27°C
38%
28°C
33%
29°C
13%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 16, 2026, 1:11 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from European models, including ECMWF and KNMI guidance, indicate a likely peak temperature of 26–28°C in Amsterdam on June 18 amid a warm, stable air mass with light southerly flow and limited cloud cover. This setup favors strong daytime heating under mostly clear conditions, pushing afternoon maxima into the upper 20s, though minor variations in boundary-layer moisture or timing of any thin high cloud could trim 1°C from the peak. With only 48 hours until resolution, traders weigh the latest model runs showing 27°C as the slight consensus favorite over 28°C, reflecting typical uncertainty ranges of ±1–2°C in short-range temperature predictions for the region during early summer.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions