Recent National Weather Service forecasts point to a high near 97°F in Austin on June 28 under mostly sunny skies with southerly flow, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 94–97°F outcomes. Persistent high pressure and above-average Gulf moisture are limiting stronger heating while keeping heat indices elevated, consistent with late-June climatology where daily highs average 93–95°F. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability this close to the event, with only modest afternoon mixing or cloud cover likely to trim the peak by a degree or two. Traders appear to weigh these stable guidance trends heavily against the small chance of slightly stronger subsidence pushing readings into the upper 90s.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Austin on June 28?
Highest temperature in Austin on June 28?
94-95°F 65%
96-97°F 30%
92-93°F 4.1%
98-99°F 4%
$31,853 Vol.
$31,853 Vol.
Jun 28, 2026
89°F or below
1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
4%
94-95°F
65%
96-97°F
30%
98-99°F
4%
100-101°F
1%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F or higher
<1%
94-95°F 65%
96-97°F 30%
92-93°F 4.1%
98-99°F 4%
$31,853 Vol.
$31,853 Vol.
Jun 28, 2026
89°F or below
$2,120 Vol.
1%
90-91°F
$3,094 Vol.
1%
92-93°F
$3,470 Vol.
4%
94-95°F
$6,256 Vol.
65%
96-97°F
$5,587 Vol.
30%
98-99°F
$3,897 Vol.
4%
100-101°F
$1,465 Vol.
1%
102-103°F
$1,659 Vol.
<1%
104-105°F
$1,646 Vol.
<1%
106-107°F
$1,490 Vol.
<1%
108°F or higher
$1,169 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts point to a high near 97°F in Austin on June 28 under mostly sunny skies with southerly flow, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 94–97°F outcomes. Persistent high pressure and above-average Gulf moisture are limiting stronger heating while keeping heat indices elevated, consistent with late-June climatology where daily highs average 93–95°F. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability this close to the event, with only modest afternoon mixing or cloud cover likely to trim the peak by a degree or two. Traders appear to weigh these stable guidance trends heavily against the small chance of slightly stronger subsidence pushing readings into the upper 90s.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 26, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$31,853End Date
Jun 28, 2026Market Opened
Jun 26, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts point to a high near 97°F in Austin on June 28 under mostly sunny skies with southerly flow, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 94–97°F outcomes. Persistent high pressure and above-average Gulf moisture are limiting stronger heating while keeping heat indices elevated, consistent with late-June climatology where daily highs average 93–95°F. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability this close to the event, with only modest afternoon mixing or cloud cover likely to trim the peak by a degree or two. Traders appear to weigh these stable guidance trends heavily against the small chance of slightly stronger subsidence pushing readings into the upper 90s.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$31,853End Date
Jun 28, 2026Market Opened
Jun 26, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts point to a high near 97°F in Austin on June 28 under mostly sunny skies with southerly flow, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 94–97°F outcomes. Persistent high pressure and above-average Gulf moisture are limiting stronger heating while keeping heat indices elevated, consistent with late-June climatology where daily highs average 93–95°F. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability this close to the event, with only modest afternoon mixing or cloud cover likely to trim the peak by a degree or two. Traders appear to weigh these stable guidance trends heavily against the small chance of slightly stronger subsidence pushing readings into the upper 90s.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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