Recent numerical weather prediction models indicate a daily maximum near 16–17°C for Buenos Aires on July 14, consistent with the market’s near-even weighting between those two outcomes and the lower probability assigned to 15°C or 18°C. July climatology shows an average high of roughly 15°C, but short-term model runs reflect modest warm advection and reduced cloud cover that support readings 1–2°C above the seasonal baseline. Ensemble spread remains modest at this 24–48-hour lead time, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of any passing trough and the accuracy of local observations from official Argentine meteorological stations. Updated model guidance expected within the next 12 hours will likely narrow the range further before markets close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on July 14?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on July 14?
16°C 43%
15°C 23%
17°C 20%
14°C 9.9%
NEW
$13,665 Vol.
NEW
$13,665 Vol.
Jul 14, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
10%
15°C
23%
16°C
43%
17°C
20%
18°C
5%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
16°C 43%
15°C 23%
17°C 20%
14°C 9.9%
NEW
$13,665 Vol.
NEW
$13,665 Vol.
Jul 14, 2026
11°C or below
$5,696 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$1,712 Vol.
1%
13°C
$785 Vol.
1%
14°C
$1,078 Vol.
10%
15°C
$651 Vol.
23%
16°C
$655 Vol.
43%
17°C
$606 Vol.
20%
18°C
$626 Vol.
5%
19°C
$1,210 Vol.
1%
20°C
$367 Vol.
<1%
21°C or higher
$280 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models indicate a daily maximum near 16–17°C for Buenos Aires on July 14, consistent with the market’s near-even weighting between those two outcomes and the lower probability assigned to 15°C or 18°C. July climatology shows an average high of roughly 15°C, but short-term model runs reflect modest warm advection and reduced cloud cover that support readings 1–2°C above the seasonal baseline. Ensemble spread remains modest at this 24–48-hour lead time, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of any passing trough and the accuracy of local observations from official Argentine meteorological stations. Updated model guidance expected within the next 12 hours will likely narrow the range further before markets close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 12, 2026, 9:01 PM ET
Volume
$13,665End Date
Jul 14, 2026Market Opened
Jul 12, 2026, 9:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models indicate a daily maximum near 16–17°C for Buenos Aires on July 14, consistent with the market’s near-even weighting between those two outcomes and the lower probability assigned to 15°C or 18°C. July climatology shows an average high of roughly 15°C, but short-term model runs reflect modest warm advection and reduced cloud cover that support readings 1–2°C above the seasonal baseline. Ensemble spread remains modest at this 24–48-hour lead time, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of any passing trough and the accuracy of local observations from official Argentine meteorological stations. Updated model guidance expected within the next 12 hours will likely narrow the range further before markets close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$13,665End Date
Jul 14, 2026Market Opened
Jul 12, 2026, 9:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models indicate a daily maximum near 16–17°C for Buenos Aires on July 14, consistent with the market’s near-even weighting between those two outcomes and the lower probability assigned to 15°C or 18°C. July climatology shows an average high of roughly 15°C, but short-term model runs reflect modest warm advection and reduced cloud cover that support readings 1–2°C above the seasonal baseline. Ensemble spread remains modest at this 24–48-hour lead time, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of any passing trough and the accuracy of local observations from official Argentine meteorological stations. Updated model guidance expected within the next 12 hours will likely narrow the range further before markets close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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