Trader consensus around 29–30°C as the highest temperature in Chengdu on June 28 reflects short-term numerical weather prediction models showing typical late-June conditions in this humid subtropical region, where afternoon highs average near 31°C amid the East Asian monsoon. Frequent cloud cover and scattered showers—driven by moist southwesterly flow and regional low-level convergence—tend to cap daytime peaks while elevating humidity and limiting radiative heating. Ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to exact timing of any convective activity or shifts in steering patterns, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes below 27°C or above 32°C given current observational baselines and climatological analogs. Updated model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these outlooks ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chengdu on June 28?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 28?
30°C 100.0%
31°C <1%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
$127,772 Vol.
$127,772 Vol.
Jun 28, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
30°C 100.0%
31°C <1%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
$127,772 Vol.
$127,772 Vol.
Jun 28, 2026
23°C or below
$828 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$3,107 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,436 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$27,799 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$25,059 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$8,080 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$26,916 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$8,792 Vol.
100%
31°C
$13,032 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$5,687 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$7,045 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 29–30°C as the highest temperature in Chengdu on June 28 reflects short-term numerical weather prediction models showing typical late-June conditions in this humid subtropical region, where afternoon highs average near 31°C amid the East Asian monsoon. Frequent cloud cover and scattered showers—driven by moist southwesterly flow and regional low-level convergence—tend to cap daytime peaks while elevating humidity and limiting radiative heating. Ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to exact timing of any convective activity or shifts in steering patterns, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes below 27°C or above 32°C given current observational baselines and climatological analogs. Updated model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these outlooks ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 26, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$127,772End Date
Jun 28, 2026Market Opened
Jun 26, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 29–30°C as the highest temperature in Chengdu on June 28 reflects short-term numerical weather prediction models showing typical late-June conditions in this humid subtropical region, where afternoon highs average near 31°C amid the East Asian monsoon. Frequent cloud cover and scattered showers—driven by moist southwesterly flow and regional low-level convergence—tend to cap daytime peaks while elevating humidity and limiting radiative heating. Ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to exact timing of any convective activity or shifts in steering patterns, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes below 27°C or above 32°C given current observational baselines and climatological analogs. Updated model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these outlooks ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$127,772End Date
Jun 28, 2026Market Opened
Jun 26, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus around 29–30°C as the highest temperature in Chengdu on June 28 reflects short-term numerical weather prediction models showing typical late-June conditions in this humid subtropical region, where afternoon highs average near 31°C amid the East Asian monsoon. Frequent cloud cover and scattered showers—driven by moist southwesterly flow and regional low-level convergence—tend to cap daytime peaks while elevating humidity and limiting radiative heating. Ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to exact timing of any convective activity or shifts in steering patterns, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes below 27°C or above 32°C given current observational baselines and climatological analogs. Updated model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these outlooks ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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