Recent forecasts from sources including timeanddate and AccuWeather point to widespread cloud cover and rainfall over Chongqing on June 22, 2026, limiting daytime heating and supporting the market's clustered probabilities around 24–26 °C. Persistent moisture from the East Asian monsoon and possible Meiyu frontal influences are expected to reduce solar insolation while advecting cooler air, keeping the maximum temperature below the seasonal June average of roughly 30–31 °C. Model consensus highlights elevated precipitation chances that differentiate the tightly bunched lower outcomes from rarer warmer scenarios, with updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles due in the next 24–48 hours likely to refine these thresholds. Traders are weighting the high likelihood of suppressed maxima driven by these synoptic conditions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on June 22?
24°C or below 40%
25°C 26%
26°C 21%
27°C 18%
24°C or below
40%
25°C
26%
26°C
13%
27°C
10%
28°C
9%
29°C
4%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
24°C or below 40%
25°C 26%
26°C 21%
27°C 18%
24°C or below
40%
25°C
26%
26°C
13%
27°C
10%
28°C
9%
29°C
4%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 20, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including timeanddate and AccuWeather point to widespread cloud cover and rainfall over Chongqing on June 22, 2026, limiting daytime heating and supporting the market's clustered probabilities around 24–26 °C. Persistent moisture from the East Asian monsoon and possible Meiyu frontal influences are expected to reduce solar insolation while advecting cooler air, keeping the maximum temperature below the seasonal June average of roughly 30–31 °C. Model consensus highlights elevated precipitation chances that differentiate the tightly bunched lower outcomes from rarer warmer scenarios, with updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles due in the next 24–48 hours likely to refine these thresholds. Traders are weighting the high likelihood of suppressed maxima driven by these synoptic conditions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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