Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance places Houston’s June 28 high in the low-to-mid 90s under persistent subtropical high pressure, light southerly flow off the Gulf, and mostly sunny skies typical of late June climatology. This setup favors 92–93 °F as the most probable peak, with 94–95 °F remaining plausible if afternoon mixing is slightly stronger. Model consensus shows little day-to-day change through the weekend, keeping rain chances near zero and limiting any cooling influence from clouds or sea-breeze effects. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probability to the 92–93 °F bin, reflecting the narrow range of expected outcomes around the long-term June average high of 92 °F.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Houston on June 28?
Highest temperature in Houston on June 28?
94-95°F 51%
92-93°F 48%
96-97°F 2.7%
88-89°F <1%
$20,553 Vol.
$20,553 Vol.
Jun 28, 2026
83°F or below
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
48%
94-95°F
51%
96-97°F
3%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102°F or higher
<1%
94-95°F 51%
92-93°F 48%
96-97°F 2.7%
88-89°F <1%
$20,553 Vol.
$20,553 Vol.
Jun 28, 2026
83°F or below
$3,207 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$2,436 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$1,250 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$979 Vol.
1%
90-91°F
$1,422 Vol.
1%
92-93°F
$3,003 Vol.
48%
94-95°F
$2,564 Vol.
51%
96-97°F
$2,166 Vol.
3%
98-99°F
$774 Vol.
<1%
100-101°F
$1,706 Vol.
<1%
102°F or higher
$1,051 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance places Houston’s June 28 high in the low-to-mid 90s under persistent subtropical high pressure, light southerly flow off the Gulf, and mostly sunny skies typical of late June climatology. This setup favors 92–93 °F as the most probable peak, with 94–95 °F remaining plausible if afternoon mixing is slightly stronger. Model consensus shows little day-to-day change through the weekend, keeping rain chances near zero and limiting any cooling influence from clouds or sea-breeze effects. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probability to the 92–93 °F bin, reflecting the narrow range of expected outcomes around the long-term June average high of 92 °F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 26, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$20,553End Date
Jun 28, 2026Market Opened
Jun 26, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance places Houston’s June 28 high in the low-to-mid 90s under persistent subtropical high pressure, light southerly flow off the Gulf, and mostly sunny skies typical of late June climatology. This setup favors 92–93 °F as the most probable peak, with 94–95 °F remaining plausible if afternoon mixing is slightly stronger. Model consensus shows little day-to-day change through the weekend, keeping rain chances near zero and limiting any cooling influence from clouds or sea-breeze effects. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probability to the 92–93 °F bin, reflecting the narrow range of expected outcomes around the long-term June average high of 92 °F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$20,553End Date
Jun 28, 2026Market Opened
Jun 26, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance places Houston’s June 28 high in the low-to-mid 90s under persistent subtropical high pressure, light southerly flow off the Gulf, and mostly sunny skies typical of late June climatology. This setup favors 92–93 °F as the most probable peak, with 94–95 °F remaining plausible if afternoon mixing is slightly stronger. Model consensus shows little day-to-day change through the weekend, keeping rain chances near zero and limiting any cooling influence from clouds or sea-breeze effects. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probability to the 92–93 °F bin, reflecting the narrow range of expected outcomes around the long-term June average high of 92 °F.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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