Official forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate Moscow will reach a daily maximum of exactly 30°C on June 10, 2026, with model consensus and current observations supporting this outcome as the resolution threshold. Strong atmospheric conditions, including stable high pressure and limited cloud cover, align with historical June climatology where peaks near 30°C occur regularly without exceeding it significantly. The market-implied odds reflect trader assessment of these data, with minimal probability assigned to deviations due to the narrow window remaining for major forecast shifts. New model runs or real-time measurements could still introduce minor adjustments before final verification, though current evidence points to a tightly constrained range around the expected high.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Moscow on June 10?
30°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$36,184 Vol.
$36,184 Vol.
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$36,184 Vol.
$36,184 Vol.
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 8, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Official forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate Moscow will reach a daily maximum of exactly 30°C on June 10, 2026, with model consensus and current observations supporting this outcome as the resolution threshold. Strong atmospheric conditions, including stable high pressure and limited cloud cover, align with historical June climatology where peaks near 30°C occur regularly without exceeding it significantly. The market-implied odds reflect trader assessment of these data, with minimal probability assigned to deviations due to the narrow window remaining for major forecast shifts. New model runs or real-time measurements could still introduce minor adjustments before final verification, though current evidence points to a tightly constrained range around the expected high.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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