Trader sentiment for Seoul’s July 4 peak temperature clusters tightly around 28–29 °C because short-range guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models shows typical early-July monsoon (Jangma) conditions, with daytime maxima tempered by high humidity, variable cloud cover, and scattered afternoon showers. Southwesterly flow and urban heat-island effects keep the baseline near seasonal normals of 28–29 °C, while the precise timing and coverage of convection introduce enough uncertainty to differentiate the narrow spread among 28 °C, 29 °C, and 30 °C outcomes. Clearer breaks could push readings to 30 °C or briefly higher, whereas earlier or heavier rain would cap peaks closer to 27 °C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seoul on July 4?
Highest temperature in Seoul on July 4?
28°C 42%
29°C 24%
27°C 19%
30°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Jul 4, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
19%
28°C
42%
29°C
24%
30°C
11%
31°C
2%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 42%
29°C 24%
27°C 19%
30°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Jul 4, 2026
23°C or below
$249 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$494 Vol.
1%
25°C
$255 Vol.
1%
26°C
$51 Vol.
3%
27°C
$214 Vol.
19%
28°C
$3,962 Vol.
42%
29°C
$418 Vol.
24%
30°C
$217 Vol.
11%
31°C
$285 Vol.
2%
32°C
$371 Vol.
1%
33°C or higher
$720 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Seoul’s July 4 peak temperature clusters tightly around 28–29 °C because short-range guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models shows typical early-July monsoon (Jangma) conditions, with daytime maxima tempered by high humidity, variable cloud cover, and scattered afternoon showers. Southwesterly flow and urban heat-island effects keep the baseline near seasonal normals of 28–29 °C, while the precise timing and coverage of convection introduce enough uncertainty to differentiate the narrow spread among 28 °C, 29 °C, and 30 °C outcomes. Clearer breaks could push readings to 30 °C or briefly higher, whereas earlier or heavier rain would cap peaks closer to 27 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 2, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volume
$7,235End Date
Jul 4, 2026Market Opened
Jul 2, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Seoul’s July 4 peak temperature clusters tightly around 28–29 °C because short-range guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models shows typical early-July monsoon (Jangma) conditions, with daytime maxima tempered by high humidity, variable cloud cover, and scattered afternoon showers. Southwesterly flow and urban heat-island effects keep the baseline near seasonal normals of 28–29 °C, while the precise timing and coverage of convection introduce enough uncertainty to differentiate the narrow spread among 28 °C, 29 °C, and 30 °C outcomes. Clearer breaks could push readings to 30 °C or briefly higher, whereas earlier or heavier rain would cap peaks closer to 27 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,235End Date
Jul 4, 2026Market Opened
Jul 2, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Seoul’s July 4 peak temperature clusters tightly around 28–29 °C because short-range guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models shows typical early-July monsoon (Jangma) conditions, with daytime maxima tempered by high humidity, variable cloud cover, and scattered afternoon showers. Southwesterly flow and urban heat-island effects keep the baseline near seasonal normals of 28–29 °C, while the precise timing and coverage of convection introduce enough uncertainty to differentiate the narrow spread among 28 °C, 29 °C, and 30 °C outcomes. Clearer breaks could push readings to 30 °C or briefly higher, whereas earlier or heavier rain would cap peaks closer to 27 °C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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