Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles position Seoul’s June 16 daytime maximum near 28–29 °C, producing the market’s near-even split between those two outcomes. Regional model runs and KMA guidance indicate moderate southwesterly flow, boundary-layer mixing, and limited cloud cover that support highs in this narrow range, while urban heat-island effects and typical early-monsoon humidity add slight upward bias. Ensemble spread remains several degrees wide, leaving 27 °C and 30 °C as plausible tails. Updated model cycles and official station observations on the 16th will determine final resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Seoul on June 16?
28°C 32%
29°C 29%
27°C 20%
30°C 10%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
5%
27°C
20%
28°C
32%
29°C
29%
30°C
10%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
1%
28°C 32%
29°C 29%
27°C 20%
30°C 10%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
5%
27°C
20%
28°C
32%
29°C
29%
30°C
10%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 14, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles position Seoul’s June 16 daytime maximum near 28–29 °C, producing the market’s near-even split between those two outcomes. Regional model runs and KMA guidance indicate moderate southwesterly flow, boundary-layer mixing, and limited cloud cover that support highs in this narrow range, while urban heat-island effects and typical early-monsoon humidity add slight upward bias. Ensemble spread remains several degrees wide, leaving 27 °C and 30 °C as plausible tails. Updated model cycles and official station observations on the 16th will determine final resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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