Forecast models from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and global ensembles indicate typical mid-July subtropical high pressure over northern Taiwan, supporting afternoon highs near 34–36 °C on July 6 amid partly cloudy skies and scattered thundershowers. Key variables differentiating the closely bunched 34 °C, 35 °C, and 36 °C outcomes include convective timing, which can limit insolation and cap the daily maximum, versus clearer intervals that allow greater surface heating. Urban heat-island effects and monsoon moisture further elevate baseline readings, while minor model disagreements on wind speed and cloud thickness sustain the tight probability distribution. Updated short-range guidance and observed trends through July 5 will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Taipei on July 6?
35°C 31%
36°C 20.0%
34°C 17%
33°C 13%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
7%
32°C
11%
33°C
13%
34°C
17%
35°C
17%
36°C
22%
37°C
6%
38°C or higher
2%
35°C 31%
36°C 20.0%
34°C 17%
33°C 13%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
7%
32°C
11%
33°C
13%
34°C
17%
35°C
17%
36°C
22%
37°C
6%
38°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jul 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and global ensembles indicate typical mid-July subtropical high pressure over northern Taiwan, supporting afternoon highs near 34–36 °C on July 6 amid partly cloudy skies and scattered thundershowers. Key variables differentiating the closely bunched 34 °C, 35 °C, and 36 °C outcomes include convective timing, which can limit insolation and cap the daily maximum, versus clearer intervals that allow greater surface heating. Urban heat-island effects and monsoon moisture further elevate baseline readings, while minor model disagreements on wind speed and cloud thickness sustain the tight probability distribution. Updated short-range guidance and observed trends through July 5 will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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