**Trader consensus on 29°C as the Wuhan daily maximum reflects convergence of numerical weather prediction models and early observational data from the Tianhe International Airport station.** Mid-June Yangtze basin climatology supports highs near 30–31°C under typical monsoon moisture and weak steering flow, yet updated CMA and ECMWF runs, combined with partly cloudy conditions suppressing peak insolation, have tightened the expected range to 29°C. Real-capital positioning at 100% implied probability indicates traders view deviations beyond ±1°C as low-probability given stable high pressure and limited convective development. Only an unanticipated late-day thunderstorm or station-specific microclimate shift could realistically alter the recorded maximum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Wuhan on June 14?
29°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
30°C <1%
$65,012 Vol.
$65,012 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
100%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
29°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
30°C <1%
$65,012 Vol.
$65,012 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
100%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 12, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus on 29°C as the Wuhan daily maximum reflects convergence of numerical weather prediction models and early observational data from the Tianhe International Airport station.** Mid-June Yangtze basin climatology supports highs near 30–31°C under typical monsoon moisture and weak steering flow, yet updated CMA and ECMWF runs, combined with partly cloudy conditions suppressing peak insolation, have tightened the expected range to 29°C. Real-capital positioning at 100% implied probability indicates traders view deviations beyond ±1°C as low-probability given stable high pressure and limited convective development. Only an unanticipated late-day thunderstorm or station-specific microclimate shift could realistically alter the recorded maximum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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