How many people will Trump deport in 2025?
$4,419,417 Vol.
250-500k 87.8%
500-750k 5.8%
750k-1m 5.0%
<250k 4.0%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
<250k
$945,889 Vol.
4%
<250k
$945,889 Vol.
4%
250-500k
$1,043,942 Vol.
88%
250-500k
$1,043,942 Vol.
88%
500-750k
$438,631 Vol.
6%
500-750k
$438,631 Vol.
6%
750k-1m
$385,181 Vol.
5%
750k-1m
$385,181 Vol.
5%
1-1.25m
$367,313 Vol.
<1%
1-1.25m
$367,313 Vol.
<1%
1.25-1.5m
$319,680 Vol.
1%
1.25-1.5m
$319,680 Vol.
1%
1.5-1.75m
$324,881 Vol.
<1%
1.5-1.75m
$324,881 Vol.
<1%
1.75-2m
$289,734 Vol.
<1%
1.75-2m
$289,734 Vol.
<1%
2m+
$304,167 Vol.
1%
2m+
$304,167 Vol.
1%
Rules
During the 2024 FY ICE removed 271,484 non citizens (see: https://www.ice.gov/doclib/eoy/iceAnnualReportFY2024.pdf).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) removes less than 250,000 non citizens in the 2025 fiscal year. Otherwise, this market ill resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be the FY 2025 ICE Annual Report. If the FY 2025 ICE Annual Report is not published by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) removes less than 250,000 non citizens in the 2025 fiscal year. Otherwise, this market ill resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be the FY 2025 ICE Annual Report. If the FY 2025 ICE Annual Report is not published by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used.
Created At: Jan 5, 2025, 7:47 PM UTC
Volume
$4,419,417End Date
Dec 31, 2025Created At
Jan 5, 2025, 7:47 PM UTCResolver
0x2F5e3684c...$4,419,417 Vol.
How many people will Trump deport in 2025?
250-500k 87.8%
500-750k 5.8%
750k-1m 5.0%
<250k 4.0%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
<250k
$945,889 Vol.
4%
250-500k
$1,043,942 Vol.
88%
500-750k
$438,631 Vol.
6%
750k-1m
$385,181 Vol.
5%
1-1.25m
$367,313 Vol.
<1%
1.25-1.5m
$319,680 Vol.
1%
1.5-1.75m
$324,881 Vol.
<1%
1.75-2m
$289,734 Vol.
<1%
2m+
$304,167 Vol.
1%
About
Volume
$4,419,417End Date
Dec 31, 2025Created At
Jan 5, 2025, 7:47 PM UTCResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Beware of external links.
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