**ICE removals in fiscal year 2026 reached 356,389 by mid-July, on pace for a total near or above 400,000 by September 30, reflecting sustained high monthly arrest volumes exceeding 40,000 in peak periods and expanded interior enforcement through local partnerships.** The administration has prioritized expedited removals, including third-country agreements that have facilitated over 25,000 transfers since early 2025, alongside record detention capacity. Experts note operational constraints, including staffing and logistics, that make sustained million-level annual totals unlikely, aligning trader pricing with a 400-500k range for the calendar year. Ongoing court developments and visa revocation efforts could influence final counts within the resolution window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedView resolved

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