Recent reports from Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick and Department of Homeland Security filings show only one Gold Card approved since applications opened in December 2025, with hundreds queued and just 338 submissions total amid $15,000 processing fees. Legal challenges questioning expedited processing and eligibility under existing immigration statutes, combined with attorney warnings about program risks, have slowed momentum despite initial executive order launch and claims of $1.3 billion in early pledges. These factors position the 1-100 range as the dominant trader consensus, reflecting limited uptake in the first months of the $1 million residency program and ongoing vetting delays that could constrain 2026 volumes absent faster approvals or policy adjustments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHow many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2026?
1-100 68.3%
101-1k 18.2%
>100k 8.4%
2.5k-5k 4.1%
$235,027 Vol.
$235,027 Vol.
1-100
68%
101-1k
13%
1k-2.5k
4%
2.5k-5k
4%
5k-10k
4%
10k-25k
2%
25k-100k
2%
>100k
8%
1-100 68.3%
101-1k 18.2%
>100k 8.4%
2.5k-5k 4.1%
$235,027 Vol.
$235,027 Vol.
1-100
68%
101-1k
13%
1k-2.5k
4%
2.5k-5k
4%
5k-10k
4%
10k-25k
2%
25k-100k
2%
>100k
8%
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Nov 5, 2025, 11:33 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent reports from Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick and Department of Homeland Security filings show only one Gold Card approved since applications opened in December 2025, with hundreds queued and just 338 submissions total amid $15,000 processing fees. Legal challenges questioning expedited processing and eligibility under existing immigration statutes, combined with attorney warnings about program risks, have slowed momentum despite initial executive order launch and claims of $1.3 billion in early pledges. These factors position the 1-100 range as the dominant trader consensus, reflecting limited uptake in the first months of the $1 million residency program and ongoing vetting delays that could constrain 2026 volumes absent faster approvals or policy adjustments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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