The Trump Gold Card program, established by executive order in September 2025, routes applicants into existing EB-1 and EB-2 categories via a $1 million contribution to the Commerce Department plus processing fees. As of mid-2026, official data showed only one approval despite earlier claims of over $1.3 billion in interest, with roughly 338 applications and far fewer completed petitions amid rigorous DHS vetting. Ongoing litigation challenges the program's executive authority and its interaction with statutory visa caps and priority dates, creating uncertainty over processing speed and volume. These factors—combined with backlogs in employment-based categories, high per-applicant costs, and limited evidence of scaled uptake through September 2026—support trader consensus favoring the lowest outcome range for full-year 2026 sales.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated1-100 76.9%
>100k 5.1%
101-1k 3.6%
25k-100k 1.8%
$293,765 Vol.
$293,765 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
1-100
64%
101-1k
4%
1k-2.5k
1%
2.5k-5k
<1%
5k-10k
2%
10k-25k
2%
25k-100k
2%
>100k
5%
1-100 76.9%
>100k 5.1%
101-1k 3.6%
25k-100k 1.8%
$293,765 Vol.
$293,765 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
1-100
$18,577 Vol.
64%
101-1k
$41,488 Vol.
4%
1k-2.5k
$11,436 Vol.
1%
2.5k-5k
$11,154 Vol.
<1%
5k-10k
$12,049 Vol.
2%
10k-25k
$116,937 Vol.
2%
25k-100k
$11,514 Vol.
2%
>100k
$26,183 Vol.
5%
Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.The Trump Gold Card program, established by executive order in September 2025, routes applicants into existing EB-1 and EB-2 categories via a $1 million contribution to the Commerce Department plus processing fees. As of mid-2026, official data showed only one approval despite earlier claims of over $1.3 billion in interest, with roughly 338 applications and far fewer completed petitions amid rigorous DHS vetting. Ongoing litigation challenges the program's executive authority and its interaction with statutory visa caps and priority dates, creating uncertainty over processing speed and volume. These factors—combined with backlogs in employment-based categories, high per-applicant costs, and limited evidence of scaled uptake through September 2026—support trader consensus favoring the lowest outcome range for full-year 2026 sales.
Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Nov 5, 2025, 11:33 AM ET
Volume
$293,765End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 11:33 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.The Trump Gold Card program, established by executive order in September 2025, routes applicants into existing EB-1 and EB-2 categories via a $1 million contribution to the Commerce Department plus processing fees. As of mid-2026, official data showed only one approval despite earlier claims of over $1.3 billion in interest, with roughly 338 applications and far fewer completed petitions amid rigorous DHS vetting. Ongoing litigation challenges the program's executive authority and its interaction with statutory visa caps and priority dates, creating uncertainty over processing speed and volume. These factors—combined with backlogs in employment-based categories, high per-applicant costs, and limited evidence of scaled uptake through September 2026—support trader consensus favoring the lowest outcome range for full-year 2026 sales.
Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$293,765End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 11:33 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Trump Gold Card program, established by executive order in September 2025, routes applicants into existing EB-1 and EB-2 categories via a $1 million contribution to the Commerce Department plus processing fees. As of mid-2026, official data showed only one approval despite earlier claims of over $1.3 billion in interest, with roughly 338 applications and far fewer completed petitions amid rigorous DHS vetting. Ongoing litigation challenges the program's executive authority and its interaction with statutory visa caps and priority dates, creating uncertainty over processing speed and volume. These factors—combined with backlogs in employment-based categories, high per-applicant costs, and limited evidence of scaled uptake through September 2026—support trader consensus favoring the lowest outcome range for full-year 2026 sales.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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