The Trump Gold Card visa program, established by executive order in September 2025 and launched in December, has recorded minimal uptake through mid-2026, with only one approval, roughly 338 applications, and 165 processing fees paid according to Department of Homeland Security filings. Trader consensus assigning 67.5% probability to the 1-100 outcome for full-year 2026 sales reflects this pattern of slow processing amid rigorous national security and background vetting, combined with an ongoing federal lawsuit challenging the program's legal basis under existing EB-1 and EB-2 categories. No major increases in approvals or policy adjustments have emerged in recent months to alter the low-volume trajectory, though hundreds of applications remain in review and scheduled court developments could affect future eligibility determinations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated1-100 76.2%
>100k 4.9%
101-1k 3.6%
25k-100k 1.8%
$293,275 Vol.
$293,275 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
1-100
68%
101-1k
4%
1k-2.5k
1%
2.5k-5k
1%
5k-10k
2%
10k-25k
2%
25k-100k
2%
>100k
5%
1-100 76.2%
>100k 4.9%
101-1k 3.6%
25k-100k 1.8%
$293,275 Vol.
$293,275 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
1-100
$18,522 Vol.
68%
101-1k
$41,423 Vol.
4%
1k-2.5k
$11,376 Vol.
1%
2.5k-5k
$11,094 Vol.
1%
5k-10k
$11,989 Vol.
2%
10k-25k
$116,872 Vol.
2%
25k-100k
$11,454 Vol.
2%
>100k
$26,118 Vol.
5%
Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.The Trump Gold Card visa program, established by executive order in September 2025 and launched in December, has recorded minimal uptake through mid-2026, with only one approval, roughly 338 applications, and 165 processing fees paid according to Department of Homeland Security filings. Trader consensus assigning 67.5% probability to the 1-100 outcome for full-year 2026 sales reflects this pattern of slow processing amid rigorous national security and background vetting, combined with an ongoing federal lawsuit challenging the program's legal basis under existing EB-1 and EB-2 categories. No major increases in approvals or policy adjustments have emerged in recent months to alter the low-volume trajectory, though hundreds of applications remain in review and scheduled court developments could affect future eligibility determinations.
Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Nov 5, 2025, 11:33 AM ET
Volume
$293,275End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 11:33 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.The Trump Gold Card visa program, established by executive order in September 2025 and launched in December, has recorded minimal uptake through mid-2026, with only one approval, roughly 338 applications, and 165 processing fees paid according to Department of Homeland Security filings. Trader consensus assigning 67.5% probability to the 1-100 outcome for full-year 2026 sales reflects this pattern of slow processing amid rigorous national security and background vetting, combined with an ongoing federal lawsuit challenging the program's legal basis under existing EB-1 and EB-2 categories. No major increases in approvals or policy adjustments have emerged in recent months to alter the low-volume trajectory, though hundreds of applications remain in review and scheduled court developments could affect future eligibility determinations.
Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$293,275End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 11:33 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Trump Gold Card visa program, established by executive order in September 2025 and launched in December, has recorded minimal uptake through mid-2026, with only one approval, roughly 338 applications, and 165 processing fees paid according to Department of Homeland Security filings. Trader consensus assigning 67.5% probability to the 1-100 outcome for full-year 2026 sales reflects this pattern of slow processing amid rigorous national security and background vetting, combined with an ongoing federal lawsuit challenging the program's legal basis under existing EB-1 and EB-2 categories. No major increases in approvals or policy adjustments have emerged in recent months to alter the low-volume trajectory, though hundreds of applications remain in review and scheduled court developments could affect future eligibility determinations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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