Trump's approval rating has declined to new lows around 34-38 percent in early 2026 polls amid widespread discontent with the ongoing conflict in Iran and rising inflation. Recent surveys show disapproval climbing above 60 percent, driven by voter concerns over costs of living, gas prices, and the economic impact of military engagement abroad, with majorities across parties viewing the Iran situation negatively. These pressures coincide with the lead-up to November midterm elections, where economic sentiment often amplifies shifts in presidential standing. Legislative outcomes on spending or foreign policy, along with any diplomatic developments, could still influence whether ratings dip further or stabilize before the end of the year.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$72,720 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
35%
45%
30%
12%
25%
9%
20%
5%
$72,720 Vol.
35%
$42,826 Vol.
45%
30%
$5,718 Vol.
12%
25%
$1,730 Vol.
9%
20%
$2,945 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.Trump's approval rating has declined to new lows around 34-38 percent in early 2026 polls amid widespread discontent with the ongoing conflict in Iran and rising inflation. Recent surveys show disapproval climbing above 60 percent, driven by voter concerns over costs of living, gas prices, and the economic impact of military engagement abroad, with majorities across parties viewing the Iran situation negatively. These pressures coincide with the lead-up to November midterm elections, where economic sentiment often amplifies shifts in presidential standing. Legislative outcomes on spending or foreign policy, along with any diplomatic developments, could still influence whether ratings dip further or stabilize before the end of the year.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Market Opened: Nov 5, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
Volume
$72,720End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.Trump's approval rating has declined to new lows around 34-38 percent in early 2026 polls amid widespread discontent with the ongoing conflict in Iran and rising inflation. Recent surveys show disapproval climbing above 60 percent, driven by voter concerns over costs of living, gas prices, and the economic impact of military engagement abroad, with majorities across parties viewing the Iran situation negatively. These pressures coincide with the lead-up to November midterm elections, where economic sentiment often amplifies shifts in presidential standing. Legislative outcomes on spending or foreign policy, along with any diplomatic developments, could still influence whether ratings dip further or stabilize before the end of the year.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Volume
$72,720End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump's approval rating has declined to new lows around 34-38 percent in early 2026 polls amid widespread discontent with the ongoing conflict in Iran and rising inflation. Recent surveys show disapproval climbing above 60 percent, driven by voter concerns over costs of living, gas prices, and the economic impact of military engagement abroad, with majorities across parties viewing the Iran situation negatively. These pressures coincide with the lead-up to November midterm elections, where economic sentiment often amplifies shifts in presidential standing. Legislative outcomes on spending or foreign policy, along with any diplomatic developments, could still influence whether ratings dip further or stabilize before the end of the year.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions