Trump’s approval rating has declined steadily through 2025 and into August 2026, averaging in the mid-to-high 30s percent amid partisan polarization exceeding 70 points. The ongoing conflict with Iran stands out as a key recent catalyst, with public disapproval of the president’s handling and widespread perceptions of rising gas prices and household costs eroding support even among some independents and younger voters. Economic concerns, particularly inflation and the cost of living, remain dominant voter priorities and continue to weigh on ratings. With the November 2026 midterms approaching, historical patterns show second-term presidents often face further pressure from legislative battles, primary challenges, and turnout dynamics, though any de-escalation in foreign policy or positive economic signals could produce short-term rebounds before year-end polling aggregates are finalized.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$116,743 Vol.
35%
30%
30%
6%
25%
6%
20%
3%
$116,743 Vol.
35%
30%
30%
6%
25%
6%
20%
3%
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Market Opened: Nov 5, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trump’s approval rating has declined steadily through 2025 and into August 2026, averaging in the mid-to-high 30s percent amid partisan polarization exceeding 70 points. The ongoing conflict with Iran stands out as a key recent catalyst, with public disapproval of the president’s handling and widespread perceptions of rising gas prices and household costs eroding support even among some independents and younger voters. Economic concerns, particularly inflation and the cost of living, remain dominant voter priorities and continue to weigh on ratings. With the November 2026 midterms approaching, historical patterns show second-term presidents often face further pressure from legislative battles, primary challenges, and turnout dynamics, though any de-escalation in foreign policy or positive economic signals could produce short-term rebounds before year-end polling aggregates are finalized.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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