How many people will Trump deport in 2025?
$4,424,371 Vol.
250-500k 90.1%
500-750k 5.4%
<250k 4.3%
750k-1m 2.6%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
<250k
$946,072 Vol.
4%
<250k
$946,072 Vol.
4%
250-500k
$1,044,580 Vol.
90%
250-500k
$1,044,580 Vol.
90%
500-750k
$439,023 Vol.
5%
500-750k
$439,023 Vol.
5%
750k-1m
$385,261 Vol.
3%
750k-1m
$385,261 Vol.
3%
1-1.25m
$368,484 Vol.
<1%
1-1.25m
$368,484 Vol.
<1%
1.25-1.5m
$319,760 Vol.
1%
1.25-1.5m
$319,760 Vol.
1%
1.5-1.75m
$326,040 Vol.
1%
1.5-1.75m
$326,040 Vol.
1%
1.75-2m
$290,905 Vol.
<1%
1.75-2m
$290,905 Vol.
<1%
2m+
$304,247 Vol.
1%
2m+
$304,247 Vol.
1%
Rules
During the 2024 FY ICE removed 271,484 non citizens (see: https://www.ice.gov/doclib/eoy/iceAnnualReportFY2024.pdf).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) removes between 750,000 (inclusive) and 1,000,000 (exclusive) non citizens in the 2025 fiscal year. Otherwise, this market ill resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be the FY 2025 ICE Annual Report. If the FY 2025 ICE Annual Report is not published by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) removes between 750,000 (inclusive) and 1,000,000 (exclusive) non citizens in the 2025 fiscal year. Otherwise, this market ill resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be the FY 2025 ICE Annual Report. If the FY 2025 ICE Annual Report is not published by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used.
Created At: Jan 5, 2025, 7:47 PM UTC
Volume
$4,424,371End Date
Dec 31, 2025Created At
Jan 5, 2025, 7:47 PM UTCResolver
0x2F5e3684c...$4,424,371 Vol.
How many people will Trump deport in 2025?
250-500k 90.1%
500-750k 5.4%
<250k 4.3%
750k-1m 2.6%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
<250k
$946,072 Vol.
4%
250-500k
$1,044,580 Vol.
90%
500-750k
$439,023 Vol.
5%
750k-1m
$385,261 Vol.
3%
1-1.25m
$368,484 Vol.
<1%
1.25-1.5m
$319,760 Vol.
1%
1.5-1.75m
$326,040 Vol.
1%
1.75-2m
$290,905 Vol.
<1%
2m+
$304,247 Vol.
1%
About
Volume
$4,424,371End Date
Dec 31, 2025Created At
Jan 5, 2025, 7:47 PM UTCResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Beware of external links.
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