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icon for Kai and Speed finish their Minecraft marathon by...?

Kai and Speed finish their Minecraft marathon by...?

icon for Kai and Speed finish their Minecraft marathon by...?

Kai and Speed finish their Minecraft marathon by...?

NEW

$20,149 Vol.

Aug 14, 2026
Polymarket

$20,149 Vol.

Polymarket

August 14

$223 Vol.

12%

August 18

$5,600 Vol.

30%

August 19

$1,659 Vol.

40%

August 20

$3,902 Vol.

42%

August 21

$790 Vol.

60%

August 26

$4,040 Vol.

73%

August 31

$3,934 Vol.

86%

Kai Cenat and IShowSpeed are scheduled to stream a hardcore Minecraft marathon beginning on August 7, 2026, at 5:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kai Cenat ends his Twitch broadcast of the marathon between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the time (ET) that Kai Cenat's Twitch channel stops broadcasting a livestream of the marathon. To qualify, Kai Cenat must not resume the marathon broadcast within 12 hours of ending it. This market will stay open for 12 hours after the stream ends to confirm the finality of the marathon. If Kai Cenat begins broadcasting again within 12 hours after ending his previous stream, the marathon will be treated as continuing, regardless of the content of the new stream. Completion of any Minecraft challenge will not be considered for resolution. Time spent broadcasting after the challenge has been completed or abandoned, including time spent on activities unrelated to Minecraft, will count toward the marathon. The resolution source for this market will be Kai Cenat's official broadcast on Twitch (https://www.twitch.tv/kaicenat).Kai Cenat and iShowSpeed launched their hardcore Minecraft marathon on August 7–8, 2026, committing to nonstop streaming until they defeat the Ender Dragon, Wither, Warden, and Elder Guardian. Their prior 2024 attempt required 106 hours, establishing a baseline for the challenge’s scale amid permadeath risks, boss mechanics, and coordination demands in a shared world. Recent streams show steady day-one progress with visible deaths and chaotic moments, while trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over completion speed due to potential setbacks like inventory loss or fatigue. Key upcoming catalysts include daily milestones tracked on platforms such as Twitch and YouTube, where viewer engagement and any mid-stream announcements could shift implied probabilities for resolution dates.

Kai Cenat and IShowSpeed are scheduled to stream a hardcore Minecraft marathon beginning on August 7, 2026, at 5:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kai Cenat ends his Twitch broadcast of the marathon between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the time (ET) that Kai Cenat's Twitch channel stops broadcasting a livestream of the marathon. To qualify, Kai Cenat must not resume the marathon broadcast within 12 hours of ending it. This market will stay open for 12 hours after the stream ends to confirm the finality of the marathon.

If Kai Cenat begins broadcasting again within 12 hours after ending his previous stream, the marathon will be treated as continuing, regardless of the content of the new stream.

Completion of any Minecraft challenge will not be considered for resolution. Time spent broadcasting after the challenge has been completed or abandoned, including time spent on activities unrelated to Minecraft, will count toward the marathon.

The resolution source for this market will be Kai Cenat's official broadcast on Twitch (https://www.twitch.tv/kaicenat).
Volume
$20,149
End Date
Aug 31, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 8:46 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.twitch.tv/kaicenat

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Kai Cenat and IShowSpeed are scheduled to stream a hardcore Minecraft marathon beginning on August 7, 2026, at 5:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kai Cenat ends his Twitch broadcast of the marathon between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the time (ET) that Kai Cenat's Twitch channel stops broadcasting a livestream of the marathon. To qualify, Kai Cenat must not resume the marathon broadcast within 12 hours of ending it. This market will stay open for 12 hours after the stream ends to confirm the finality of the marathon. If Kai Cenat begins broadcasting again within 12 hours after ending his previous stream, the marathon will be treated as continuing, regardless of the content of the new stream. Completion of any Minecraft challenge will not be considered for resolution. Time spent broadcasting after the challenge has been completed or abandoned, including time spent on activities unrelated to Minecraft, will count toward the marathon. The resolution source for this market will be Kai Cenat's official broadcast on Twitch (https://www.twitch.tv/kaicenat).
Kai Cenat and IShowSpeed are scheduled to stream a hardcore Minecraft marathon beginning on August 7, 2026, at 5:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kai Cenat ends his Twitch broadcast of the marathon between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the time (ET) that Kai Cenat's Twitch channel stops broadcasting a livestream of the marathon. To qualify, Kai Cenat must not resume the marathon broadcast within 12 hours of ending it. This market will stay open for 12 hours after the stream ends to confirm the finality of the marathon. If Kai Cenat begins broadcasting again within 12 hours after ending his previous stream, the marathon will be treated as continuing, regardless of the content of the new stream. Completion of any Minecraft challenge will not be considered for resolution. Time spent broadcasting after the challenge has been completed or abandoned, including time spent on activities unrelated to Minecraft, will count toward the marathon. The resolution source for this market will be Kai Cenat's official broadcast on Twitch (https://www.twitch.tv/kaicenat).Kai Cenat and iShowSpeed launched their hardcore Minecraft marathon on August 7–8, 2026, committing to nonstop streaming until they defeat the Ender Dragon, Wither, Warden, and Elder Guardian. Their prior 2024 attempt required 106 hours, establishing a baseline for the challenge’s scale amid permadeath risks, boss mechanics, and coordination demands in a shared world. Recent streams show steady day-one progress with visible deaths and chaotic moments, while trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over completion speed due to potential setbacks like inventory loss or fatigue. Key upcoming catalysts include daily milestones tracked on platforms such as Twitch and YouTube, where viewer engagement and any mid-stream announcements could shift implied probabilities for resolution dates.

Kai Cenat and IShowSpeed are scheduled to stream a hardcore Minecraft marathon beginning on August 7, 2026, at 5:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kai Cenat ends his Twitch broadcast of the marathon between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the time (ET) that Kai Cenat's Twitch channel stops broadcasting a livestream of the marathon. To qualify, Kai Cenat must not resume the marathon broadcast within 12 hours of ending it. This market will stay open for 12 hours after the stream ends to confirm the finality of the marathon.

If Kai Cenat begins broadcasting again within 12 hours after ending his previous stream, the marathon will be treated as continuing, regardless of the content of the new stream.

Completion of any Minecraft challenge will not be considered for resolution. Time spent broadcasting after the challenge has been completed or abandoned, including time spent on activities unrelated to Minecraft, will count toward the marathon.

The resolution source for this market will be Kai Cenat's official broadcast on Twitch (https://www.twitch.tv/kaicenat).
Volume
$20,149
End Date
Aug 31, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 8:46 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.twitch.tv/kaicenat

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Kai Cenat and IShowSpeed are scheduled to stream a hardcore Minecraft marathon beginning on August 7, 2026, at 5:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kai Cenat ends his Twitch broadcast of the marathon between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the time (ET) that Kai Cenat's Twitch channel stops broadcasting a livestream of the marathon. To qualify, Kai Cenat must not resume the marathon broadcast within 12 hours of ending it. This market will stay open for 12 hours after the stream ends to confirm the finality of the marathon. If Kai Cenat begins broadcasting again within 12 hours after ending his previous stream, the marathon will be treated as continuing, regardless of the content of the new stream. Completion of any Minecraft challenge will not be considered for resolution. Time spent broadcasting after the challenge has been completed or abandoned, including time spent on activities unrelated to Minecraft, will count toward the marathon. The resolution source for this market will be Kai Cenat's official broadcast on Twitch (https://www.twitch.tv/kaicenat).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Kai and Speed finish their Minecraft marathon by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "August 31" at 86%, followed by "August 26" at 73%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 86¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 86% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Kai and Speed finish their Minecraft marathon by...?" has generated $20.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 8, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Kai and Speed finish their Minecraft marathon by...?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Kai and Speed finish their Minecraft marathon by...?" is "August 31" at 86%, meaning the market assigns a 86% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "August 26" at 73%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Kai and Speed finish their Minecraft marathon by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.