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icon for Which characters will die in the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale?

Which characters will die in the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale?

icon for Which characters will die in the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale?

Which characters will die in the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale?

NEW
Aug 9, 2026
Polymarket

$9,272 Vol.

Polymarket

Helaena Targaryen

$3,413 Vol.

89%

Mysaria

$257 Vol.

7%

Baela Targaryen

$286 Vol.

5%

Alicent Hightower

$446 Vol.

4%

Corlys Velaryon

$192 Vol.

3%

Aemond Targaryen

$2,593 Vol.

2%

Rhaenyra Targaryen

$742 Vol.

2%

Aegon II Targaryen

$275 Vol.

2%

Rhaena Targaryen

$202 Vol.

2%

Daemon Targaryen

$866 Vol.

2%

The House of the Dragon Season 3 finale is scheduled to air on HBO and HBO Max on August 9, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified character is depicted as having died during the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying death depiction must show the specified character depicted as dead on screen, or otherwise that character's death must clearly be stated to have occurred in the plot, even if offscreen (e.g., characters confirm their in-plot death in conversation, the funeral of a character occurs, etc.). If a death depiction is reversed through a revival, resurrection, or reanimation that occurs after the character has died, that death depiction will still qualify. Death depictions occurring in any timeline or dimension depicted in the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale will count toward resolution. Flashback scenes showing a character alive before their death depiction, as well as dream sequences, hallucinations, prophecies, or visions of dead characters, will not affect resolution. Characters who were already confirmed dead in-plot before the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale begins will not count toward this market's resolution. If a character's fate in-plot is deliberately left ambiguous, it will not qualify toward the resolution of this market. Only death depictions confirmed by the end of the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale will qualify. Only events depicted in the official House of the Dragon Season 3 finale episode will count toward resolution. If the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale does not air by August 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Post-credits scenes count if they are part of the official episode, but supplementary materials such as podcasts, comics, books, or other media do not count unless they are explicitly referenced within the show itself. The market will resolve after the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale is released.Season 3 of House of the Dragon, which premiered June 21 on HBO and Max, has built intense viewer anticipation for its August 9 finale through escalating Targaryen civil war stakes drawn from Fire & Blood. Early episodes delivered major losses including Jacaerys Velaryon and Vermax at the Battle of the Gullet, signaling the show’s willingness to follow source-material fatalities while heightening emotional investment for Team Black and Team Green arcs. Rumors of three or more significant character deaths in the finale have circulated widely, fueled by ongoing battles, guild and precursor-style fan discussions around key figures like Criston Cole or potential upsets, and the series’ eight-episode structure mirroring prior seasons’ climactic payoffs. Traders are monitoring episode-by-episode momentum and any last-minute leaks or cast teases ahead of tonight’s resolution.

The House of the Dragon Season 3 finale is scheduled to air on HBO and HBO Max on August 9, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified character is depicted as having died during the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying death depiction must show the specified character depicted as dead on screen, or otherwise that character's death must clearly be stated to have occurred in the plot, even if offscreen (e.g., characters confirm their in-plot death in conversation, the funeral of a character occurs, etc.).

If a death depiction is reversed through a revival, resurrection, or reanimation that occurs after the character has died, that death depiction will still qualify. Death depictions occurring in any timeline or dimension depicted in the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale will count toward resolution.

Flashback scenes showing a character alive before their death depiction, as well as dream sequences, hallucinations, prophecies, or visions of dead characters, will not affect resolution. Characters who were already confirmed dead in-plot before the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale begins will not count toward this market's resolution.

If a character's fate in-plot is deliberately left ambiguous, it will not qualify toward the resolution of this market. Only death depictions confirmed by the end of the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale will qualify.

Only events depicted in the official House of the Dragon Season 3 finale episode will count toward resolution.

If the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale does not air by August 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Post-credits scenes count if they are part of the official episode, but supplementary materials such as podcasts, comics, books, or other media do not count unless they are explicitly referenced within the show itself. The market will resolve after the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale is released.
Volume
$9,272
End Date
Aug 9, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 11:32 AM ET
The House of the Dragon Season 3 finale is scheduled to air on HBO and HBO Max on August 9, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified character is depicted as having died during the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying death depiction must show the specified character depicted as dead on screen, or otherwise that character's death must clearly be stated to have occurred in the plot, even if offscreen (e.g., characters confirm their in-plot death in conversation, the funeral of a character occurs, etc.). If a death depiction is reversed through a revival, resurrection, or reanimation that occurs after the character has died, that death depiction will still qualify. Death depictions occurring in any timeline or dimension depicted in the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale will count toward resolution. Flashback scenes showing a character alive before their death depiction, as well as dream sequences, hallucinations, prophecies, or visions of dead characters, will not affect resolution. Characters who were already confirmed dead in-plot before the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale begins will not count toward this market's resolution. If a character's fate in-plot is deliberately left ambiguous, it will not qualify toward the resolution of this market. Only death depictions confirmed by the end of the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale will qualify. Only events depicted in the official House of the Dragon Season 3 finale episode will count toward resolution. If the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale does not air by August 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Post-credits scenes count if they are part of the official episode, but supplementary materials such as podcasts, comics, books, or other media do not count unless they are explicitly referenced within the show itself. The market will resolve after the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale is released.
The House of the Dragon Season 3 finale is scheduled to air on HBO and HBO Max on August 9, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified character is depicted as having died during the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying death depiction must show the specified character depicted as dead on screen, or otherwise that character's death must clearly be stated to have occurred in the plot, even if offscreen (e.g., characters confirm their in-plot death in conversation, the funeral of a character occurs, etc.). If a death depiction is reversed through a revival, resurrection, or reanimation that occurs after the character has died, that death depiction will still qualify. Death depictions occurring in any timeline or dimension depicted in the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale will count toward resolution. Flashback scenes showing a character alive before their death depiction, as well as dream sequences, hallucinations, prophecies, or visions of dead characters, will not affect resolution. Characters who were already confirmed dead in-plot before the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale begins will not count toward this market's resolution. If a character's fate in-plot is deliberately left ambiguous, it will not qualify toward the resolution of this market. Only death depictions confirmed by the end of the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale will qualify. Only events depicted in the official House of the Dragon Season 3 finale episode will count toward resolution. If the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale does not air by August 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Post-credits scenes count if they are part of the official episode, but supplementary materials such as podcasts, comics, books, or other media do not count unless they are explicitly referenced within the show itself. The market will resolve after the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale is released.Season 3 of House of the Dragon, which premiered June 21 on HBO and Max, has built intense viewer anticipation for its August 9 finale through escalating Targaryen civil war stakes drawn from Fire & Blood. Early episodes delivered major losses including Jacaerys Velaryon and Vermax at the Battle of the Gullet, signaling the show’s willingness to follow source-material fatalities while heightening emotional investment for Team Black and Team Green arcs. Rumors of three or more significant character deaths in the finale have circulated widely, fueled by ongoing battles, guild and precursor-style fan discussions around key figures like Criston Cole or potential upsets, and the series’ eight-episode structure mirroring prior seasons’ climactic payoffs. Traders are monitoring episode-by-episode momentum and any last-minute leaks or cast teases ahead of tonight’s resolution.

The House of the Dragon Season 3 finale is scheduled to air on HBO and HBO Max on August 9, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified character is depicted as having died during the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying death depiction must show the specified character depicted as dead on screen, or otherwise that character's death must clearly be stated to have occurred in the plot, even if offscreen (e.g., characters confirm their in-plot death in conversation, the funeral of a character occurs, etc.).

If a death depiction is reversed through a revival, resurrection, or reanimation that occurs after the character has died, that death depiction will still qualify. Death depictions occurring in any timeline or dimension depicted in the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale will count toward resolution.

Flashback scenes showing a character alive before their death depiction, as well as dream sequences, hallucinations, prophecies, or visions of dead characters, will not affect resolution. Characters who were already confirmed dead in-plot before the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale begins will not count toward this market's resolution.

If a character's fate in-plot is deliberately left ambiguous, it will not qualify toward the resolution of this market. Only death depictions confirmed by the end of the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale will qualify.

Only events depicted in the official House of the Dragon Season 3 finale episode will count toward resolution.

If the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale does not air by August 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Post-credits scenes count if they are part of the official episode, but supplementary materials such as podcasts, comics, books, or other media do not count unless they are explicitly referenced within the show itself. The market will resolve after the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale is released.
Volume
$9,272
End Date
Aug 9, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 11:32 AM ET
The House of the Dragon Season 3 finale is scheduled to air on HBO and HBO Max on August 9, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified character is depicted as having died during the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying death depiction must show the specified character depicted as dead on screen, or otherwise that character's death must clearly be stated to have occurred in the plot, even if offscreen (e.g., characters confirm their in-plot death in conversation, the funeral of a character occurs, etc.). If a death depiction is reversed through a revival, resurrection, or reanimation that occurs after the character has died, that death depiction will still qualify. Death depictions occurring in any timeline or dimension depicted in the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale will count toward resolution. Flashback scenes showing a character alive before their death depiction, as well as dream sequences, hallucinations, prophecies, or visions of dead characters, will not affect resolution. Characters who were already confirmed dead in-plot before the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale begins will not count toward this market's resolution. If a character's fate in-plot is deliberately left ambiguous, it will not qualify toward the resolution of this market. Only death depictions confirmed by the end of the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale will qualify. Only events depicted in the official House of the Dragon Season 3 finale episode will count toward resolution. If the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale does not air by August 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Post-credits scenes count if they are part of the official episode, but supplementary materials such as podcasts, comics, books, or other media do not count unless they are explicitly referenced within the show itself. The market will resolve after the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale is released.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Which characters will die in the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Helaena Targaryen" at 89%, followed by "Mysaria" at 7%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 89¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 89% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Which characters will die in the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 8, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Which characters will die in the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale?," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Which characters will die in the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale?" is "Helaena Targaryen" at 89%, meaning the market assigns a 89% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Mysaria" at 7%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Which characters will die in the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.