Ty Masterson holds a clear edge in the Kansas governor race due to the state's Republican lean and the open seat created by term-limited Democratic incumbent Laura Kelly. Masterson secured the GOP nomination with strong support from President Trump and unified party backing after a competitive primary, positioning him to capitalize on favorable structural factors. Recent polling shows him ahead by single digits among likely voters, though the contest remains competitive. Holscher, the Democratic nominee, emerged from her primary on a more progressive platform but faces headwinds in a state where Republicans have dominated recent federal results. The first head-to-head debate on September 12 highlighted sharp differences on taxes, data centers, and legislative records, with both candidates targeting unaffiliated voters ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader pricing aligns with most nonpartisan race ratings favoring a Republican flip.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedKansas Governor Election Winner
Kansas Governor Election Winner
$22,952 Vol.
$22,952 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Ty Masterson (R)
68%
Cindy Holscher (D)
33%
$22,952 Vol.
$22,952 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Ty Masterson (R)
$11,914 Vol.
68%
Cindy Holscher (D)
$11,039 Vol.
33%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Kansas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Ty Masterson holds a clear edge in the Kansas governor race due to the state's Republican lean and the open seat created by term-limited Democratic incumbent Laura Kelly. Masterson secured the GOP nomination with strong support from President Trump and unified party backing after a competitive primary, positioning him to capitalize on favorable structural factors. Recent polling shows him ahead by single digits among likely voters, though the contest remains competitive. Holscher, the Democratic nominee, emerged from her primary on a more progressive platform but faces headwinds in a state where Republicans have dominated recent federal results. The first head-to-head debate on September 12 highlighted sharp differences on taxes, data centers, and legislative records, with both candidates targeting unaffiliated voters ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader pricing aligns with most nonpartisan race ratings favoring a Republican flip.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Kansas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Market Opened: Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Volume
$22,952End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Kansas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Ty Masterson holds a clear edge in the Kansas governor race due to the state's Republican lean and the open seat created by term-limited Democratic incumbent Laura Kelly. Masterson secured the GOP nomination with strong support from President Trump and unified party backing after a competitive primary, positioning him to capitalize on favorable structural factors. Recent polling shows him ahead by single digits among likely voters, though the contest remains competitive. Holscher, the Democratic nominee, emerged from her primary on a more progressive platform but faces headwinds in a state where Republicans have dominated recent federal results. The first head-to-head debate on September 12 highlighted sharp differences on taxes, data centers, and legislative records, with both candidates targeting unaffiliated voters ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader pricing aligns with most nonpartisan race ratings favoring a Republican flip.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Kansas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$22,952End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Ty Masterson holds a clear edge in the Kansas governor race due to the state's Republican lean and the open seat created by term-limited Democratic incumbent Laura Kelly. Masterson secured the GOP nomination with strong support from President Trump and unified party backing after a competitive primary, positioning him to capitalize on favorable structural factors. Recent polling shows him ahead by single digits among likely voters, though the contest remains competitive. Holscher, the Democratic nominee, emerged from her primary on a more progressive platform but faces headwinds in a state where Republicans have dominated recent federal results. The first head-to-head debate on September 12 highlighted sharp differences on taxes, data centers, and legislative records, with both candidates targeting unaffiliated voters ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader pricing aligns with most nonpartisan race ratings favoring a Republican flip.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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