Incumbent Democrat Sharice Davids secured her party's nomination in the August 4 primary and enters the November 3 general election as the clear favorite in Kansas's 3rd congressional district. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+2, reflecting modest Democratic lean based on recent presidential results, and Davids has held it since flipping the district in 2018 with repeated double-digit general election margins. Republican nominee Eric Jenkins, who won his primary, faces structural headwinds in a suburban Kansas City district where Democratic performance has stabilized. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Democratic, consistent with the district's voting patterns and the incumbent's established record. The November general election remains the key resolution point.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedKS-03 House Election Winner
KS-03 House Election Winner
$21,148 Vol.
$21,148 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
90%
Republican Party
11%
$21,148 Vol.
$21,148 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$6,544 Vol.
90%
Republican Party
$14,604 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Sharice Davids secured her party's nomination in the August 4 primary and enters the November 3 general election as the clear favorite in Kansas's 3rd congressional district. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+2, reflecting modest Democratic lean based on recent presidential results, and Davids has held it since flipping the district in 2018 with repeated double-digit general election margins. Republican nominee Eric Jenkins, who won his primary, faces structural headwinds in a suburban Kansas City district where Democratic performance has stabilized. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Democratic, consistent with the district's voting patterns and the incumbent's established record. The November general election remains the key resolution point.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$21,148End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Sharice Davids secured her party's nomination in the August 4 primary and enters the November 3 general election as the clear favorite in Kansas's 3rd congressional district. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+2, reflecting modest Democratic lean based on recent presidential results, and Davids has held it since flipping the district in 2018 with repeated double-digit general election margins. Republican nominee Eric Jenkins, who won his primary, faces structural headwinds in a suburban Kansas City district where Democratic performance has stabilized. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Democratic, consistent with the district's voting patterns and the incumbent's established record. The November general election remains the key resolution point.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$21,148End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Sharice Davids secured her party's nomination in the August 4 primary and enters the November 3 general election as the clear favorite in Kansas's 3rd congressional district. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+2, reflecting modest Democratic lean based on recent presidential results, and Davids has held it since flipping the district in 2018 with repeated double-digit general election margins. Republican nominee Eric Jenkins, who won his primary, faces structural headwinds in a suburban Kansas City district where Democratic performance has stabilized. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Democratic, consistent with the district's voting patterns and the incumbent's established record. The November general election remains the key resolution point.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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