Michigan's 12th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its Cook Political Report Solid D rating and D+21 partisan voting index. Incumbent Rashida Tlaib secured the Democratic nomination on August 4, 2026, defeating challengers with roughly 70 percent of the primary vote. Republican nominee James Hooper faces limited opposition in a district centered on Dearborn and Detroit portions of Wayne and Oakland counties. Historical general election results, including Tlaib's prior 69.7 percent share, reinforce trader consensus around the Democratic outcome. A late-breaking scandal, major health event for the incumbent, or unprecedented national midterm swing would represent the primary pathways for any shift in positioning before November 3.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMI-12 House Election Winner
MI-12 House Election Winner
$33,410 Vol.
$33,410 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
5%
$33,410 Vol.
$33,410 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$21,161 Vol.
95%
Republican Party
$12,249 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 12th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its Cook Political Report Solid D rating and D+21 partisan voting index. Incumbent Rashida Tlaib secured the Democratic nomination on August 4, 2026, defeating challengers with roughly 70 percent of the primary vote. Republican nominee James Hooper faces limited opposition in a district centered on Dearborn and Detroit portions of Wayne and Oakland counties. Historical general election results, including Tlaib's prior 69.7 percent share, reinforce trader consensus around the Democratic outcome. A late-breaking scandal, major health event for the incumbent, or unprecedented national midterm swing would represent the primary pathways for any shift in positioning before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$33,410End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 12th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its Cook Political Report Solid D rating and D+21 partisan voting index. Incumbent Rashida Tlaib secured the Democratic nomination on August 4, 2026, defeating challengers with roughly 70 percent of the primary vote. Republican nominee James Hooper faces limited opposition in a district centered on Dearborn and Detroit portions of Wayne and Oakland counties. Historical general election results, including Tlaib's prior 69.7 percent share, reinforce trader consensus around the Democratic outcome. A late-breaking scandal, major health event for the incumbent, or unprecedented national midterm swing would represent the primary pathways for any shift in positioning before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$33,410End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan's 12th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its Cook Political Report Solid D rating and D+21 partisan voting index. Incumbent Rashida Tlaib secured the Democratic nomination on August 4, 2026, defeating challengers with roughly 70 percent of the primary vote. Republican nominee James Hooper faces limited opposition in a district centered on Dearborn and Detroit portions of Wayne and Oakland counties. Historical general election results, including Tlaib's prior 69.7 percent share, reinforce trader consensus around the Democratic outcome. A late-breaking scandal, major health event for the incumbent, or unprecedented national midterm swing would represent the primary pathways for any shift in positioning before November 3.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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