Persistent southwest monsoon conditions, with widespread cloud cover and frequent showers across Metro Manila, are anchoring overnight lows near 24–25°C on September 10 according to PAGASA and ensemble guidance. High humidity and reduced radiative cooling under overcast skies limit the potential for deeper nighttime drops, while any brief clearing could allow modest cooling toward the lower end of the distribution. Seasonal September baselines show typical minimums around 24–26°C, with the current monsoon flow suppressing both extremes; traders appear to weigh the balance between sustained moisture keeping readings near 24°C and the slim chance of clearer periods pushing toward 20°C or below. Updated model runs and the next PAGASA bulletin will clarify steering patterns and cloud trends ahead of the overnight minimum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Manila on September 10?
Lowest temperature in Manila on September 10?
20°C or below 85%
28°C 40%
25°C 26%
24°C 24%
NEW
NEW
Sep 10, 2026
20°C or below
85%
21°C
4%
22°C
21%
23°C
24%
24°C
24%
25°C
26%
26°C
22%
27°C
22%
28°C
40%
29°C
15%
30°C or higher
11%
20°C or below 85%
28°C 40%
25°C 26%
24°C 24%
NEW
NEW
Sep 10, 2026
20°C or below
$25 Vol.
85%
21°C
$87 Vol.
4%
22°C
$30 Vol.
21%
23°C
$20 Vol.
24%
24°C
$0 Vol.
24%
25°C
$0 Vol.
26%
26°C
$0 Vol.
22%
27°C
$0 Vol.
22%
28°C
$25 Vol.
40%
29°C
$50 Vol.
15%
30°C or higher
$25 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon conditions, with widespread cloud cover and frequent showers across Metro Manila, are anchoring overnight lows near 24–25°C on September 10 according to PAGASA and ensemble guidance. High humidity and reduced radiative cooling under overcast skies limit the potential for deeper nighttime drops, while any brief clearing could allow modest cooling toward the lower end of the distribution. Seasonal September baselines show typical minimums around 24–26°C, with the current monsoon flow suppressing both extremes; traders appear to weigh the balance between sustained moisture keeping readings near 24°C and the slim chance of clearer periods pushing toward 20°C or below. Updated model runs and the next PAGASA bulletin will clarify steering patterns and cloud trends ahead of the overnight minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$262End Date
Sep 10, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon conditions, with widespread cloud cover and frequent showers across Metro Manila, are anchoring overnight lows near 24–25°C on September 10 according to PAGASA and ensemble guidance. High humidity and reduced radiative cooling under overcast skies limit the potential for deeper nighttime drops, while any brief clearing could allow modest cooling toward the lower end of the distribution. Seasonal September baselines show typical minimums around 24–26°C, with the current monsoon flow suppressing both extremes; traders appear to weigh the balance between sustained moisture keeping readings near 24°C and the slim chance of clearer periods pushing toward 20°C or below. Updated model runs and the next PAGASA bulletin will clarify steering patterns and cloud trends ahead of the overnight minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$262End Date
Sep 10, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon conditions, with widespread cloud cover and frequent showers across Metro Manila, are anchoring overnight lows near 24–25°C on September 10 according to PAGASA and ensemble guidance. High humidity and reduced radiative cooling under overcast skies limit the potential for deeper nighttime drops, while any brief clearing could allow modest cooling toward the lower end of the distribution. Seasonal September baselines show typical minimums around 24–26°C, with the current monsoon flow suppressing both extremes; traders appear to weigh the balance between sustained moisture keeping readings near 24°C and the slim chance of clearer periods pushing toward 20°C or below. Updated model runs and the next PAGASA bulletin will clarify steering patterns and cloud trends ahead of the overnight minimum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions