Forecasts from NOAA and private models indicate Miami's overnight low on June 26 will most likely fall in the upper 70s to low 80s°F, aligning with the market's clustered probabilities around 80–83°F. Persistent summer trade winds and Atlantic moisture maintain elevated humidity that limits radiational cooling, while sea-surface temperatures near 84°F provide a warm boundary layer that anchors minimums above seasonal norms. Recent model runs show limited overnight cloud cover and only isolated showers, reducing the chance of sharper drops into the mid-70s. A possible tropical moisture surge late on the 25th could add a degree or two of warmth, tightening the distribution between the 80–81°F and 82–83°F bins while keeping sub-76°F outcomes secondary. Updated National Weather Service guidance tonight will further refine trader positioning ahead of the daily minimum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Miami on June 26?
Lowest temperature in Miami on June 26?
80-81°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$19,020 Vol.
$19,020 Vol.
Jun 26, 2026
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
100%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$19,020 Vol.
$19,020 Vol.
Jun 26, 2026
71°F or below
$810 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$879 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$979 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$1,592 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$1,901 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$5,937 Vol.
100%
82-83°F
$4,230 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$621 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$926 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$528 Vol.
<1%
90°F or higher
$615 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from NOAA and private models indicate Miami's overnight low on June 26 will most likely fall in the upper 70s to low 80s°F, aligning with the market's clustered probabilities around 80–83°F. Persistent summer trade winds and Atlantic moisture maintain elevated humidity that limits radiational cooling, while sea-surface temperatures near 84°F provide a warm boundary layer that anchors minimums above seasonal norms. Recent model runs show limited overnight cloud cover and only isolated showers, reducing the chance of sharper drops into the mid-70s. A possible tropical moisture surge late on the 25th could add a degree or two of warmth, tightening the distribution between the 80–81°F and 82–83°F bins while keeping sub-76°F outcomes secondary. Updated National Weather Service guidance tonight will further refine trader positioning ahead of the daily minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 24, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$19,020End Date
Jun 26, 2026Market Opened
Jun 24, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from NOAA and private models indicate Miami's overnight low on June 26 will most likely fall in the upper 70s to low 80s°F, aligning with the market's clustered probabilities around 80–83°F. Persistent summer trade winds and Atlantic moisture maintain elevated humidity that limits radiational cooling, while sea-surface temperatures near 84°F provide a warm boundary layer that anchors minimums above seasonal norms. Recent model runs show limited overnight cloud cover and only isolated showers, reducing the chance of sharper drops into the mid-70s. A possible tropical moisture surge late on the 25th could add a degree or two of warmth, tightening the distribution between the 80–81°F and 82–83°F bins while keeping sub-76°F outcomes secondary. Updated National Weather Service guidance tonight will further refine trader positioning ahead of the daily minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$19,020End Date
Jun 26, 2026Market Opened
Jun 24, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from NOAA and private models indicate Miami's overnight low on June 26 will most likely fall in the upper 70s to low 80s°F, aligning with the market's clustered probabilities around 80–83°F. Persistent summer trade winds and Atlantic moisture maintain elevated humidity that limits radiational cooling, while sea-surface temperatures near 84°F provide a warm boundary layer that anchors minimums above seasonal norms. Recent model runs show limited overnight cloud cover and only isolated showers, reducing the chance of sharper drops into the mid-70s. A possible tropical moisture surge late on the 25th could add a degree or two of warmth, tightening the distribution between the 80–81°F and 82–83°F bins while keeping sub-76°F outcomes secondary. Updated National Weather Service guidance tonight will further refine trader positioning ahead of the daily minimum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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