Recent forecast guidance from French meteorological services points to an overnight low near 10°C in Paris on June 11, with the market split between 9°C and 10°C reflecting model uncertainty in minimum temperatures. Persistent cloud cover is expected to limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while light variable winds and a moderating maritime air mass keep readings from dropping further; any earlier clearing could allow an extra degree of cooling toward 9°C. Official resolution will use the lowest hourly reading at the primary Paris station, where urban effects and precise timing of any passing disturbance create the narrow spread between these leading outcomes. Updated model runs and Météo-France guidance over the next 24 hours remain the key variables that could shift trader positioning ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月11日巴黎最低气温?
10°C 40%
9°C 33%
11°C 22%
12°C 3.9%
6℃或更低
1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
2%
9°C
33%
10°C
34%
11°C
15%
12°C
4%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C或更高
<1%
10°C 40%
9°C 33%
11°C 22%
12°C 3.9%
6℃或更低
1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
2%
9°C
33%
10°C
34%
11°C
15%
12°C
4%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast guidance from French meteorological services points to an overnight low near 10°C in Paris on June 11, with the market split between 9°C and 10°C reflecting model uncertainty in minimum temperatures. Persistent cloud cover is expected to limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while light variable winds and a moderating maritime air mass keep readings from dropping further; any earlier clearing could allow an extra degree of cooling toward 9°C. Official resolution will use the lowest hourly reading at the primary Paris station, where urban effects and precise timing of any passing disturbance create the narrow spread between these leading outcomes. Updated model runs and Météo-France guidance over the next 24 hours remain the key variables that could shift trader positioning ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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