Latest forecast guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles shows a warm southwesterly flow and high pressure building over the Yellow Sea, driving Qingdao’s maximum temperature to 31°C on June 12. This aligns with observed hourly trends reaching that peak under partly clear conditions and represents a modest positive anomaly relative to typical June climatology of 24–28°C at official stations. Sea-breeze circulation and variable marine-layer moisture remain the main sources of uncertainty that could cap readings near 30°C. Market-implied odds reflect strong trader consensus on the model consensus, with new observational data and updated runs from monitoring agencies serving as the next potential catalysts for any shift.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月12日青岛气温最高？
6月12日青岛气温最高？
31°C 100.0%
22°C或以下 <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$35,431 交易量
$35,431 交易量
2026-06-12
22°C或以下
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
是
32°C或更高
否
31°C 100.0%
22°C或以下 <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$35,431 交易量
$35,431 交易量
2026-06-12
22°C或以下
$1,239 交易量
否
23°C
$741 交易量
否
24°C
$809 交易量
否
25°C
$1,640 交易量
否
26°C
$1,651 交易量
否
27°C
$2,275 交易量
否
28°C
$2,780 交易量
否
29°C
$5,388 交易量
否
30°C
$5,805 交易量
否
31°C
$5,550 交易量
是
32°C或更高
$7,553 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles shows a warm southwesterly flow and high pressure building over the Yellow Sea, driving Qingdao’s maximum temperature to 31°C on June 12. This aligns with observed hourly trends reaching that peak under partly clear conditions and represents a modest positive anomaly relative to typical June climatology of 24–28°C at official stations. Sea-breeze circulation and variable marine-layer moisture remain the main sources of uncertainty that could cap readings near 30°C. Market-implied odds reflect strong trader consensus on the model consensus, with new observational data and updated runs from monitoring agencies serving as the next potential catalysts for any shift.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 10, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
交易量
$35,431结束日期
2026-06-12市场开放时间
Jun 10, 2026, 12:07 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles shows a warm southwesterly flow and high pressure building over the Yellow Sea, driving Qingdao’s maximum temperature to 31°C on June 12. This aligns with observed hourly trends reaching that peak under partly clear conditions and represents a modest positive anomaly relative to typical June climatology of 24–28°C at official stations. Sea-breeze circulation and variable marine-layer moisture remain the main sources of uncertainty that could cap readings near 30°C. Market-implied odds reflect strong trader consensus on the model consensus, with new observational data and updated runs from monitoring agencies serving as the next potential catalysts for any shift.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$35,431结束日期
2026-06-12市场开放时间
Jun 10, 2026, 12:07 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Latest forecast guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles shows a warm southwesterly flow and high pressure building over the Yellow Sea, driving Qingdao’s maximum temperature to 31°C on June 12. This aligns with observed hourly trends reaching that peak under partly clear conditions and represents a modest positive anomaly relative to typical June climatology of 24–28°C at official stations. Sea-breeze circulation and variable marine-layer moisture remain the main sources of uncertainty that could cap readings near 30°C. Market-implied odds reflect strong trader consensus on the model consensus, with new observational data and updated runs from monitoring agencies serving as the next potential catalysts for any shift.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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