Traders have converged on 32°C as the highest temperature in Guangzhou on June 12 due to consistent outputs from operational forecast models and official observations confirming a peak under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions. This consensus reflects verified meteorological data, including surface observations and ensemble runs showing maximum values aligning precisely at that threshold amid typical early-summer humidity and light winds. Historical June climatology for the region supports such readings as common, with minimal day-to-day variability once the diurnal cycle is accounted for. Only an unexpected late-day surge from convective activity or a measurement revision at the primary station could alter the outcome, though current model agreement leaves little room for those shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月12日广州气温最高？
6月12日广州气温最高？
32°C 100.0%
26°C或以下 <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$84,585 交易量
$84,585 交易量
2026-06-12
26°C或以下
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
是
33°C
否
34°C
否
35°C
否
36°C或更高
否
32°C 100.0%
26°C或以下 <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$84,585 交易量
$84,585 交易量
2026-06-12
26°C或以下
$1,685 交易量
否
27°C
$1,567 交易量
否
28°C
$9,116 交易量
否
29°C
$7,063 交易量
否
30°C
$8,217 交易量
否
31°C
$10,668 交易量
否
32°C
$14,134 交易量
是
33°C
$10,470 交易量
否
34°C
$8,458 交易量
否
35°C
$5,888 交易量
否
36°C或更高
$7,319 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on 32°C as the highest temperature in Guangzhou on June 12 due to consistent outputs from operational forecast models and official observations confirming a peak under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions. This consensus reflects verified meteorological data, including surface observations and ensemble runs showing maximum values aligning precisely at that threshold amid typical early-summer humidity and light winds. Historical June climatology for the region supports such readings as common, with minimal day-to-day variability once the diurnal cycle is accounted for. Only an unexpected late-day surge from convective activity or a measurement revision at the primary station could alter the outcome, though current model agreement leaves little room for those shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 10, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
交易量
$84,585结束日期
2026-06-12市场开放时间
Jun 10, 2026, 12:07 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on 32°C as the highest temperature in Guangzhou on June 12 due to consistent outputs from operational forecast models and official observations confirming a peak under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions. This consensus reflects verified meteorological data, including surface observations and ensemble runs showing maximum values aligning precisely at that threshold amid typical early-summer humidity and light winds. Historical June climatology for the region supports such readings as common, with minimal day-to-day variability once the diurnal cycle is accounted for. Only an unexpected late-day surge from convective activity or a measurement revision at the primary station could alter the outcome, though current model agreement leaves little room for those shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$84,585结束日期
2026-06-12市场开放时间
Jun 10, 2026, 12:07 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Traders have converged on 32°C as the highest temperature in Guangzhou on June 12 due to consistent outputs from operational forecast models and official observations confirming a peak under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions. This consensus reflects verified meteorological data, including surface observations and ensemble runs showing maximum values aligning precisely at that threshold amid typical early-summer humidity and light winds. Historical June climatology for the region supports such readings as common, with minimal day-to-day variability once the diurnal cycle is accounted for. Only an unexpected late-day surge from convective activity or a measurement revision at the primary station could alter the outcome, though current model agreement leaves little room for those shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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