Meteorological forecasts from major European models have converged on a minimum temperature of 12°C for Paris on June 10, driving the overwhelming 98.5% market-implied probability for that outcome. Unsettled conditions with widespread cloud cover and light rain have kept overnight lows near seasonal norms of 11–13°C, consistent with June climatology and current surface observations. Official guidance highlights minimal diurnal temperature range due to persistent moisture and light winds, limiting the scope for sharper drops. Resolution hinges on the official station reading at the close of the 24-hour period; only an unanticipated late surge in radiational cooling or a localized measurement discrepancy at the primary monitoring site could realistically shift the recorded low away from 12°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月10日巴黎最低气温？
6月10日巴黎最低气温？
12°C 100.0%
7°C或以下 <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$37,942 交易量
$37,942 交易量
2026-06-10
7°C或以下
否
8°C
否
9°C
否
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C
是
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C或更高
否
12°C 100.0%
7°C或以下 <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$37,942 交易量
$37,942 交易量
2026-06-10
7°C或以下
$1,027 交易量
否
8°C
$1,624 交易量
否
9°C
$1,143 交易量
否
10°C
$3,179 交易量
否
11°C
$4,066 交易量
否
12°C
$5,964 交易量
是
13°C
$13,942 交易量
否
14°C
$4,351 交易量
否
15°C
$944 交易量
否
16°C
$934 交易量
否
17°C或更高
$769 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Meteorological forecasts from major European models have converged on a minimum temperature of 12°C for Paris on June 10, driving the overwhelming 98.5% market-implied probability for that outcome. Unsettled conditions with widespread cloud cover and light rain have kept overnight lows near seasonal norms of 11–13°C, consistent with June climatology and current surface observations. Official guidance highlights minimal diurnal temperature range due to persistent moisture and light winds, limiting the scope for sharper drops. Resolution hinges on the official station reading at the close of the 24-hour period; only an unanticipated late surge in radiational cooling or a localized measurement discrepancy at the primary monitoring site could realistically shift the recorded low away from 12°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$37,942结束日期
2026-06-10市场开放时间
Jun 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Meteorological forecasts from major European models have converged on a minimum temperature of 12°C for Paris on June 10, driving the overwhelming 98.5% market-implied probability for that outcome. Unsettled conditions with widespread cloud cover and light rain have kept overnight lows near seasonal norms of 11–13°C, consistent with June climatology and current surface observations. Official guidance highlights minimal diurnal temperature range due to persistent moisture and light winds, limiting the scope for sharper drops. Resolution hinges on the official station reading at the close of the 24-hour period; only an unanticipated late surge in radiational cooling or a localized measurement discrepancy at the primary monitoring site could realistically shift the recorded low away from 12°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$37,942结束日期
2026-06-10市场开放时间
Jun 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Meteorological forecasts from major European models have converged on a minimum temperature of 12°C for Paris on June 10, driving the overwhelming 98.5% market-implied probability for that outcome. Unsettled conditions with widespread cloud cover and light rain have kept overnight lows near seasonal norms of 11–13°C, consistent with June climatology and current surface observations. Official guidance highlights minimal diurnal temperature range due to persistent moisture and light winds, limiting the scope for sharper drops. Resolution hinges on the official station reading at the close of the 24-hour period; only an unanticipated late surge in radiational cooling or a localized measurement discrepancy at the primary monitoring site could realistically shift the recorded low away from 12°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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