Traders see the lowest temperature in Seoul on June 28 clustering tightly around 19–21 °C because ensemble forecasts from global models show a typical late-June monsoon transition pattern, with nighttime radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow keeping minimums near the seasonal average of 20 °C. Recent upper-level ridging has suppressed widespread cloud cover, supporting the market’s slight preference for 20–21 °C outcomes, while any strengthening of the East Asian monsoon trough could increase humidity and raise overnight lows or, conversely, allow clearer skies and a dip toward 19 °C or below. Model spread remains modest two days out, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of frontal passage and local urban heat-island effects; updated KMA and ECMWF runs expected within 24 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of market close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Seoul on June 28?
Lowest temperature in Seoul on June 28?
21°C 41%
22°C 24%
20°C 23%
19°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Jun 28, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
9%
20°C
23%
21°C
41%
22°C
24%
23°C
3%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
<1%
21°C 41%
22°C 24%
20°C 23%
19°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Jun 28, 2026
16°C or below
$271 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$67 Vol.
1%
18°C
$35 Vol.
3%
19°C
$230 Vol.
9%
20°C
$229 Vol.
23%
21°C
$105 Vol.
41%
22°C
$101 Vol.
24%
23°C
$135 Vol.
3%
24°C
$67 Vol.
1%
25°C
$67 Vol.
1%
26°C or higher
$267 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the lowest temperature in Seoul on June 28 clustering tightly around 19–21 °C because ensemble forecasts from global models show a typical late-June monsoon transition pattern, with nighttime radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow keeping minimums near the seasonal average of 20 °C. Recent upper-level ridging has suppressed widespread cloud cover, supporting the market’s slight preference for 20–21 °C outcomes, while any strengthening of the East Asian monsoon trough could increase humidity and raise overnight lows or, conversely, allow clearer skies and a dip toward 19 °C or below. Model spread remains modest two days out, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of frontal passage and local urban heat-island effects; updated KMA and ECMWF runs expected within 24 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$1,573End Date
Jun 28, 2026Market Opened
Jun 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the lowest temperature in Seoul on June 28 clustering tightly around 19–21 °C because ensemble forecasts from global models show a typical late-June monsoon transition pattern, with nighttime radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow keeping minimums near the seasonal average of 20 °C. Recent upper-level ridging has suppressed widespread cloud cover, supporting the market’s slight preference for 20–21 °C outcomes, while any strengthening of the East Asian monsoon trough could increase humidity and raise overnight lows or, conversely, allow clearer skies and a dip toward 19 °C or below. Model spread remains modest two days out, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of frontal passage and local urban heat-island effects; updated KMA and ECMWF runs expected within 24 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,573End Date
Jun 28, 2026Market Opened
Jun 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the lowest temperature in Seoul on June 28 clustering tightly around 19–21 °C because ensemble forecasts from global models show a typical late-June monsoon transition pattern, with nighttime radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow keeping minimums near the seasonal average of 20 °C. Recent upper-level ridging has suppressed widespread cloud cover, supporting the market’s slight preference for 20–21 °C outcomes, while any strengthening of the East Asian monsoon trough could increase humidity and raise overnight lows or, conversely, allow clearer skies and a dip toward 19 °C or below. Model spread remains modest two days out, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of frontal passage and local urban heat-island effects; updated KMA and ECMWF runs expected within 24 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of market close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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