Narendra Modi’s BJP-led coalition retains a clear majority in the Lok Sabha following the 2024 general election, with the next scheduled polls not due until 2029. This structural position, combined with the absence of any successful no-confidence motion, coalition defections, or constitutional triggers for early removal, underpins the 98.4 percent trader consensus against Modi leaving office by December 31, 2026. Recent state election results have further reinforced BJP organizational strength despite ongoing opposition-led protests over voter-roll revisions and youth grievances. While health developments, major scandals, or sudden coalition realignments could theoretically alter the timeline in the final weeks of the year, no such verifiable catalysts have emerged.