Recent Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP)-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) victories in May 2026 assembly elections across four states, including breakthroughs in West Bengal and Assam, have solidified Prime Minister Narendra Modi's national dominance and coalition stability, driving trader consensus toward an 89% implied probability that he remains in office through December 31, 2026. These gains counter an April parliamentary defeat on a Constitution Amendment Bill—Modi's first major legislative loss in over a decade—amid no signs of no-confidence motions, snap elections, or internal NDA fractures. With the next Lok Sabha polls not due until 2029, traders see limited paths to disruption barring unforeseen health issues or scandals, reflecting the wisdom of crowds in skin-in-the-game pricing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedModi out by December 31, 2026?
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
$32,087 Vol.
$32,087 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$32,087 Vol.
$32,087 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP)-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) victories in May 2026 assembly elections across four states, including breakthroughs in West Bengal and Assam, have solidified Prime Minister Narendra Modi's national dominance and coalition stability, driving trader consensus toward an 89% implied probability that he remains in office through December 31, 2026. These gains counter an April parliamentary defeat on a Constitution Amendment Bill—Modi's first major legislative loss in over a decade—amid no signs of no-confidence motions, snap elections, or internal NDA fractures. With the next Lok Sabha polls not due until 2029, traders see limited paths to disruption barring unforeseen health issues or scandals, reflecting the wisdom of crowds in skin-in-the-game pricing.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ET
Volume
$32,087End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP)-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) victories in May 2026 assembly elections across four states, including breakthroughs in West Bengal and Assam, have solidified Prime Minister Narendra Modi's national dominance and coalition stability, driving trader consensus toward an 89% implied probability that he remains in office through December 31, 2026. These gains counter an April parliamentary defeat on a Constitution Amendment Bill—Modi's first major legislative loss in over a decade—amid no signs of no-confidence motions, snap elections, or internal NDA fractures. With the next Lok Sabha polls not due until 2029, traders see limited paths to disruption barring unforeseen health issues or scandals, reflecting the wisdom of crowds in skin-in-the-game pricing.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$32,087End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP)-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) victories in May 2026 assembly elections across four states, including breakthroughs in West Bengal and Assam, have solidified Prime Minister Narendra Modi's national dominance and coalition stability, driving trader consensus toward an 89% implied probability that he remains in office through December 31, 2026. These gains counter an April parliamentary defeat on a Constitution Amendment Bill—Modi's first major legislative loss in over a decade—amid no signs of no-confidence motions, snap elections, or internal NDA fractures. With the next Lok Sabha polls not due until 2029, traders see limited paths to disruption barring unforeseen health issues or scandals, reflecting the wisdom of crowds in skin-in-the-game pricing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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