Narendra Modi’s position as India’s prime minister rests on the BJP-led NDA’s majority in the 2024 Lok Sabha elections, securing a five-year term that runs through mid-2029. Recent state assembly victories, including the party’s first-ever win in West Bengal in May 2026, have reinforced the coalition’s momentum and expanded its territorial reach midway through the term. In June 2026, Modi marked the longest continuous tenure of any elected prime minister since independence, underscoring institutional continuity and the absence of scheduled national polls or constitutional triggers before 2029. Youth-led protests over exam irregularities prompted one cabinet resignation in July 2026, yet these events produced no broader challenge to government stability or leadership succession. With the next general election not due until 2029 and no evident internal party pressure or health developments altering the timeline, traders price a low probability of Modi leaving office by the end of 2026.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedModi out by December 31, 2026?
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
7% chance
$230,796 Vol.
$230,796 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
7% chance
$230,796 Vol.
$230,796 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Narendra Modi’s position as India’s prime minister rests on the BJP-led NDA’s majority in the 2024 Lok Sabha elections, securing a five-year term that runs through mid-2029. Recent state assembly victories, including the party’s first-ever win in West Bengal in May 2026, have reinforced the coalition’s momentum and expanded its territorial reach midway through the term. In June 2026, Modi marked the longest continuous tenure of any elected prime minister since independence, underscoring institutional continuity and the absence of scheduled national polls or constitutional triggers before 2029. Youth-led protests over exam irregularities prompted one cabinet resignation in July 2026, yet these events produced no broader challenge to government stability or leadership succession. With the next general election not due until 2029 and no evident internal party pressure or health developments altering the timeline, traders price a low probability of Modi leaving office by the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ET
Volume
$230,796End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Narendra Modi’s position as India’s prime minister rests on the BJP-led NDA’s majority in the 2024 Lok Sabha elections, securing a five-year term that runs through mid-2029. Recent state assembly victories, including the party’s first-ever win in West Bengal in May 2026, have reinforced the coalition’s momentum and expanded its territorial reach midway through the term. In June 2026, Modi marked the longest continuous tenure of any elected prime minister since independence, underscoring institutional continuity and the absence of scheduled national polls or constitutional triggers before 2029. Youth-led protests over exam irregularities prompted one cabinet resignation in July 2026, yet these events produced no broader challenge to government stability or leadership succession. With the next general election not due until 2029 and no evident internal party pressure or health developments altering the timeline, traders price a low probability of Modi leaving office by the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$230,796End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Narendra Modi’s position as India’s prime minister rests on the BJP-led NDA’s majority in the 2024 Lok Sabha elections, securing a five-year term that runs through mid-2029. Recent state assembly victories, including the party’s first-ever win in West Bengal in May 2026, have reinforced the coalition’s momentum and expanded its territorial reach midway through the term. In June 2026, Modi marked the longest continuous tenure of any elected prime minister since independence, underscoring institutional continuity and the absence of scheduled national polls or constitutional triggers before 2029. Youth-led protests over exam irregularities prompted one cabinet resignation in July 2026, yet these events produced no broader challenge to government stability or leadership succession. With the next general election not due until 2029 and no evident internal party pressure or health developments altering the timeline, traders price a low probability of Modi leaving office by the end of 2026.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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