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icon for # of Packages Pushed by Figure's F.03 Robots by May 21, 10 PM ET?

# of Packages Pushed by Figure's F.03 Robots by May 21, 10 PM ET?

icon for # of Packages Pushed by Figure's F.03 Robots by May 21, 10 PM ET?

# of Packages Pushed by Figure's F.03 Robots by May 21, 10 PM ET?

$148,186 Vol.

May 21, 2026
Polymarket

$148,186 Vol.

Polymarket

200,000+

$64,879 Vol.

92%

225,000+

$30,272 Vol.

88%

250,000+

$53,035 Vol.

27%

Figure’s official livestream at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak shows a team of fully autonomous F.03 humanoid robots sorting small packages onto a conveyor. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the package counter in the specified livestream displays a figure equal to or higher than the specified figure at any point prior to May 21, 2026, 10:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the 8-hour period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the 8-hour period elapses, resolution will be based on the highest visible package count prior to the end of the demonstration. The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Figure AI’s ongoing livestream of multiple F.03 humanoid robots autonomously sorting packages via the Helix-02 neural network has become the dominant driver of trader sentiment. The demonstration, which began in mid-May with three units operating 24/7 at human-parity speeds of roughly 2–3 seconds per package, has already processed tens of thousands of items with only minor pauses and no major failures. This real-world endurance test, combined with rapid production scaling to one robot per hour at the BotQ facility, supports strong market consensus around the 200,000+ threshold. With resolution just days away on May 21 at 10 PM ET, any extension of the continuous run or additional units could further solidify the current positioning while highlighting the gap between demonstrated logistics capabilities and broader warehouse deployment.

Figure’s official livestream at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak shows a team of fully autonomous F.03 humanoid robots sorting small packages onto a conveyor.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the package counter in the specified livestream displays a figure equal to or higher than the specified figure at any point prior to May 21, 2026, 10:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the 8-hour period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the 8-hour period elapses, resolution will be based on the highest visible package count prior to the end of the demonstration.

The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$148,186
End Date
May 21, 2026
Market Opened
May 13, 2026, 7:57 PM ET
Figure’s official livestream at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak shows a team of fully autonomous F.03 humanoid robots sorting small packages onto a conveyor. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the package counter in the specified livestream displays a figure equal to or higher than the specified figure at any point prior to May 21, 2026, 10:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the 8-hour period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the 8-hour period elapses, resolution will be based on the highest visible package count prior to the end of the demonstration. The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Figure’s official livestream at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak shows a team of fully autonomous F.03 humanoid robots sorting small packages onto a conveyor. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the package counter in the specified livestream displays a figure equal to or higher than the specified figure at any point prior to May 21, 2026, 10:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the 8-hour period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the 8-hour period elapses, resolution will be based on the highest visible package count prior to the end of the demonstration. The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Figure AI’s ongoing livestream of multiple F.03 humanoid robots autonomously sorting packages via the Helix-02 neural network has become the dominant driver of trader sentiment. The demonstration, which began in mid-May with three units operating 24/7 at human-parity speeds of roughly 2–3 seconds per package, has already processed tens of thousands of items with only minor pauses and no major failures. This real-world endurance test, combined with rapid production scaling to one robot per hour at the BotQ facility, supports strong market consensus around the 200,000+ threshold. With resolution just days away on May 21 at 10 PM ET, any extension of the continuous run or additional units could further solidify the current positioning while highlighting the gap between demonstrated logistics capabilities and broader warehouse deployment.

Figure’s official livestream at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak shows a team of fully autonomous F.03 humanoid robots sorting small packages onto a conveyor.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the package counter in the specified livestream displays a figure equal to or higher than the specified figure at any point prior to May 21, 2026, 10:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the 8-hour period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the 8-hour period elapses, resolution will be based on the highest visible package count prior to the end of the demonstration.

The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$148,186
End Date
May 21, 2026
Market Opened
May 13, 2026, 7:57 PM ET
Figure’s official livestream at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak shows a team of fully autonomous F.03 humanoid robots sorting small packages onto a conveyor. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the package counter in the specified livestream displays a figure equal to or higher than the specified figure at any point prior to May 21, 2026, 10:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the 8-hour period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the 8-hour period elapses, resolution will be based on the highest visible package count prior to the end of the demonstration. The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"# of Packages Pushed by Figure's F.03 Robots by May 21, 10 PM ET?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "200,000+" at 92%, followed by "225,000+" at 88%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 92¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 92% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "# of Packages Pushed by Figure's F.03 Robots by May 21, 10 PM ET?" has generated $148.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 14, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "# of Packages Pushed by Figure's F.03 Robots by May 21, 10 PM ET?," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "# of Packages Pushed by Figure's F.03 Robots by May 21, 10 PM ET?" is "200,000+" at 92%, meaning the market assigns a 92% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "225,000+" at 88%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "# of Packages Pushed by Figure's F.03 Robots by May 21, 10 PM ET?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.