MrBeast’s latest mansion giveaway challenge has driven strong early view velocity, with roughly 40 million views in the first 24 hours and consistent daily gains that point traders toward the 62-63 million bracket at 82% implied probability for the 96-hour mark. Typical MrBeast upload patterns show rapid initial spikes from algorithmic promotion and subscriber notifications, followed by tapering daily adds as novelty fades, aligning current trajectory data with the market’s leading outcome. The 63-64 million range at 17% reflects modest upside if retention holds or a late surge occurs, while lower brackets carry minimal weight given verified performance benchmarks from recent releases. Key upcoming catalysts include standard YouTube analytics updates and any cross-platform promotion that could influence final tally resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated# of views of MrBeast video day 4?
63-64M 56%
62-63M 38%
64-65M 6.4%
61-62M <1%
$15,448 Vol.
$15,448 Vol.
<60M
<1%
60-61M
<1%
61-62M
1%
62-63M
38%
63-64M
56%
64-65M
6%
65M+
<1%
63-64M 56%
62-63M 38%
64-65M 6.4%
61-62M <1%
$15,448 Vol.
$15,448 Vol.
<60M
<1%
60-61M
<1%
61-62M
1%
62-63M
38%
63-64M
56%
64-65M
6%
65M+
<1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "Last To Leave Mansion, Keeps It", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Af6i6ChAVTw Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 11, 2026, 10:59 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Af6i6ChAVTwResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "Last To Leave Mansion, Keeps It", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Af6i6ChAVTw Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Af6i6ChAVTwResolver
0x69c47De9D...MrBeast’s latest mansion giveaway challenge has driven strong early view velocity, with roughly 40 million views in the first 24 hours and consistent daily gains that point traders toward the 62-63 million bracket at 82% implied probability for the 96-hour mark. Typical MrBeast upload patterns show rapid initial spikes from algorithmic promotion and subscriber notifications, followed by tapering daily adds as novelty fades, aligning current trajectory data with the market’s leading outcome. The 63-64 million range at 17% reflects modest upside if retention holds or a late surge occurs, while lower brackets carry minimal weight given verified performance benchmarks from recent releases. Key upcoming catalysts include standard YouTube analytics updates and any cross-platform promotion that could influence final tally resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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