MrBeast’s recent long-form challenge videos have established a reliable 70-80 million first-week view range on YouTube, anchoring trader consensus at 100% for that bracket. With more than 515 million subscribers and a fixed Saturday noon release cadence, high-production stunts, giveaways, and survival formats deliver strong opening momentum that tapers into steady accumulation through algorithmic promotion and fan sharing. Trackers show the August 22 “Escape 100 Cops” video tracking near 75 million at the seven-day mark, reinforcing the pattern seen across prior releases. An upset outside 70-80 million would require an atypical format shift, major external disruption, or unprecedented early velocity that deviates from the channel’s established trajectory.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
70-80M 100.0%
<40M <1%
40-50M <1%
50-60M <1%
$281,561 Vol.
$281,561 Vol.
<40M
No
40-50M
No
50-60M
No
60-70M
No
70-80M
Yes
80-90M
No
90M+
No
70-80M 100.0%
<40M <1%
40-50M <1%
50-60M <1%
$281,561 Vol.
$281,561 Vol.
<40M
No
40-50M
No
50-60M
No
60-70M
No
70-80M
Yes
80-90M
No
90M+
No
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 19, 2026, 2:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
MrBeast’s recent long-form challenge videos have established a reliable 70-80 million first-week view range on YouTube, anchoring trader consensus at 100% for that bracket. With more than 515 million subscribers and a fixed Saturday noon release cadence, high-production stunts, giveaways, and survival formats deliver strong opening momentum that tapers into steady accumulation through algorithmic promotion and fan sharing. Trackers show the August 22 “Escape 100 Cops” video tracking near 75 million at the seven-day mark, reinforcing the pattern seen across prior releases. An upset outside 70-80 million would require an atypical format shift, major external disruption, or unprecedented early velocity that deviates from the channel’s established trajectory.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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