Recent Franklin & Marshall polling shows Democrat Janelle Stelson holding a narrow 47-44% lead over seven-term Republican incumbent Scott Perry in Pennsylvania’s 10th Congressional District, with 9% undecided, driven primarily by voter concerns over the economy and personal finances. Stelson benefits from strong independent and moderate support in the rematch of their 2024 contest, where Perry prevailed by roughly 1%. The district’s R+3 lean and national midterm dynamics favoring the opposition party have shaped trader consensus around Stelson’s position. A scheduled October 14 debate and late-cycle shifts in turnout or economic sentiment remain key variables that could influence the November 3 outcome.