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Sports·Baseball

MLB: 2026 AL MVP

icon for MLB: 2026 AL MVP
Sports·Baseball

MLB: 2026 AL MVP

Aaron Judge 50%

Bobby Witt Jr. 20%

Nick Kurtz 13%

Yordan Alvarez 12.4%

Polymarket

$50,922 Vol.

Aaron Judge 50%

Bobby Witt Jr. 20%

Nick Kurtz 13%

Yordan Alvarez 12.4%

Polymarket

$50,922 Vol.

Aaron Judge

$2,126 Vol.

50%

Bobby Witt Jr.

$1,642 Vol.

20%

Nick Kurtz

$20 Vol.

13%

Yordan Alvarez

$1,652 Vol.

9%

Jose Ramirez

$829 Vol.

5%

Ben Rice

$258 Vol.

3%

Cal Raleigh

$105 Vol.

2%

Corey Seager

$567 Vol.

2%

Gunnar Henderson

$438 Vol.

1%

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

$1,587 Vol.

1%

Mike Trout

$105 Vol.

1%

Julio Rodriguez

$41,593 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Most Valuable Player Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Aaron Judge's early dominance has solidified his position as the 49.5 percent favorite in the 2026 AL MVP market, driven by his MLB-leading home run pace, tied AL lead in runs scored, and 1.031 OPS through early May that also tops American League position players in bWAR. Traders reflect this edge in the Yankees slugger's implied probability. Bobby Witt Jr. has gained traction at 20.5 percent after a torrid May stretch featuring a 1.101 OPS and MLB-leading WAR for the Royals, narrowing the gap with elite defense and speed. Yordan Alvarez holds third at 11.0 percent on a strong rebound season with the Astros following 2025 injury issues, while emerging options like Nick Kurtz and established names such as Jose Ramirez remain longer shots amid the crowded field.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Most Valuable Player Award.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$50,922
End Date
Nov 13, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 18, 2026, 10:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Most Valuable Player Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Most Valuable Player Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Aaron Judge's early dominance has solidified his position as the 49.5 percent favorite in the 2026 AL MVP market, driven by his MLB-leading home run pace, tied AL lead in runs scored, and 1.031 OPS through early May that also tops American League position players in bWAR. Traders reflect this edge in the Yankees slugger's implied probability. Bobby Witt Jr. has gained traction at 20.5 percent after a torrid May stretch featuring a 1.101 OPS and MLB-leading WAR for the Royals, narrowing the gap with elite defense and speed. Yordan Alvarez holds third at 11.0 percent on a strong rebound season with the Astros following 2025 injury issues, while emerging options like Nick Kurtz and established names such as Jose Ramirez remain longer shots amid the crowded field.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Most Valuable Player Award.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$50,922
End Date
Nov 13, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 18, 2026, 10:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Most Valuable Player Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"MLB: 2026 AL MVP " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 12 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Aaron Judge" at 50%, followed by "Bobby Witt Jr." at 20%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 50¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MLB: 2026 AL MVP " has generated $50.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 19, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MLB: 2026 AL MVP ," browse the 12 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MLB: 2026 AL MVP " is "Aaron Judge" at 50%, meaning the market assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Bobby Witt Jr." at 20%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MLB: 2026 AL MVP " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.